Match Info

Date: 13 February 2022, Sunday


	Real Jaén		Alhaurino

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.4
	1.6	3.3	4.6
	1.66	3.3	4.5
	1.66	3.39	4.62
	1.83	3.2	4.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.74)	3.32 ↑ (3.17)	4.48 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Jaén
53.1%

Draw
27%

Alhaurino
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

27.7%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

18.6%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Alhaurino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Jaén that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alhaurino than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alhaurino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Jaén - Alhaurino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 14).

The competitors look crappy now.

Alhaurino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Jaén is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Jaén won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Jaén won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Jaén
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
06.02.22	Huétor Tájar - Real Jaén	2:1 ✺
30.01.22	Real Jaén - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
26.01.22	Motril - Real Jaén	2:0 ✺
23.01.22	Atlético Porcuna - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
16.01.22	Real Jaén - Torre Del Mar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLTW
- CD Alhaurino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
06.02.22	Alhaurino - Malaga B	0:1 ✺
02.02.22	Torredonjimeno - Alhaurino	2:2 ✺
30.01.22	UD San Pedro - Alhaurino	4:2 ✺
26.01.22	Alhaurino - Almeria B	2:1 ✺
23.01.22	Alhaurino - El Palo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
17.10.21	Alhaurino - Real Jaén	0:0
16.05.21	Real Jaén - Alhaurino	2:0
23.09.18	Real Jaén - Alhaurino	4:0

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