Match Info

Date: 7 November 2021, Sunday


	Real Jaén		Alhaurín de la Torre

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.3	5.25
	1.61	3.5	4.1
	1.63	3.4	4.5
	1.58	3.63	4.55
	1.62	3.64	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.54)	3.49 ↓ (3.8)	4.7 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Jaén
55.5%

Draw
25.5%

Alhaurín de la Torre
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

23.8%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

15%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Alhaurín de la Torre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Jaén that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alhaurín de la Torre than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alhaurín de la Torre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Jaén - Alhaurín de la Torre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Recent matches Jaén is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alhaurín de la Torre is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jaén could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Jaén is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Jaén won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Jaén won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Jaén
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
30.10.21	Intergym Melilla - Real Jaén	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Real Jaén - Marbella	0:1 ✺
17.10.21	Alhaurino - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
12.10.21	Real Jaén - Huétor Tájar	0:0 ✺
10.10.21	Juventud de Torremolinos - Real Jaén	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTTL
- Alhaurín de la Torre CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
31.10.21	Alhaurín de la Torre - Malaga B	1:3 ✺
24.10.21	UD San Pedro - Alhaurín de la Torre	1:0 ✺
17.10.21	Alhaurín de la Torre - El Palo	1:4 ✺
12.10.21	Huétor Vega - Alhaurín de la Torre	2:1 ✺
09.10.21	Alhaurín de la Torre - Almeria B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
01.11.19	Real Jaén - Alhaurín de la Torre	6:1
25.11.18	Alhaurín de la Torre - Real Jaén	1:3
Club Friendly
06.08.16	Alhaurín de la Torre - Real Jaén	1:1

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