Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 21

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Greece	Nova Sports
Malaysia	Astro
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	TV4, Viaplay
United-kingdom	Viaplay
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Real Madrid		Almería

	1	X	2
	1.14	9.5	17	Watch
	1.14	9	18
	1.13	9	21	Watch
	1.15	9.17	15
	1.13	9.5	21
	1.11	8.5	17
	1.14	10.7	21	Watch
	1.14	9.2	18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.16)	9.32 ↑ (8.56)	18.5 ↑ (14.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
84.5%

Draw
10.3%

Almería
5.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.4%

11.2%

6.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	1.8%	19.3%

Real Madrid - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 45 - 78.9%). Almería will win (votes: 11 - 19.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 1.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 68.3% – 89.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 2. Carvajal D. 22. Rudiger A. 6. Fernandez N. (C) 23. Mendy F. 15. Valverde F. 18. Tchouameni A. 8. Kroos T. 5. Bellingham J. 11. Rodrygo 7. Vinicius Junior	25. Maximiano L. (G) 18. Pubill M. 2. Kaiky 21. Chumi 15. Akieme S. 3. Gonzalez E. 19. Arribas S. 6. Lopy D. 5. Robertone L. (C) 7. Ramazani L. 29. Milovanovic M.
Substitutes
12. Camavinga E. 19. Ceballos D. 21. Diaz B. 20. Garcia F. 24. Guler A. 14. Joselu 17. Lucas 13. Lunin A. (G) 10. Modric L. 26. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G)	20. Centelles A. 10. Embarba A. 14. Lazaro 1. Marino D. (G) 13. Martinez F. (G) 11. Melero G. 26. Pena M. 17. Pozo A. 27. Sanz P. 9. Suarez L. 33. Svidersky M.
Coaches
Ancelotti C.	Garitano G.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 5.

Real is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Almería is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Almería could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury) Courtois T. (Knee Injury) Militao E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Almería: Baba I. (National selection) Kone I. (Ankle Injury) Leo Baptistao (Yellow Cards) Mendes H. (National selection) Puigmal A. (Muscle Injury) Sanca M. (National selection)

There are questionable in Real: Lucas (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Almería: Montes C. (Knee Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Real won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 25-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Real won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid
Spanish Copa del Rey
18.01.24	Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid	4:2 ET ✺
Spanish Supercopa
14.01.24	Real Madrid - Barcelona	4:1 ✺
10.01.24	Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid	5:3 ET ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.24	Arandina - Real Madrid	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
03.01.24	Real Madrid - Mallorca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWW
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga
14.01.24	Almería - Girona	0:0 ✺
04.01.24	Osasuna - Almería	1:0 ✺
20.12.23	Barcelona - Almería	3:2 ✺
17.12.23	Almería - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Atlético Madrid - Almería	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
19.08.23	Almería - Real Madrid	1:3
29.04.23	Real Madrid - Almería	4:2
14.08.22	Almería - Real Madrid	1:2
29.04.15	Real Madrid - Almería	3:0
12.12.14	Almería - Real Madrid	1:4
12.04.14	Real Madrid - Almería	4:0
23.11.13	Almería - Real Madrid	0:5

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