Match Info

Champions League Women - League phase - Round 5

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid)

Referee: Dowle K. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Real Madrid		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	1.85	4	3.1
	1.92	3.95	3.25
	1.96	3.96	3.3
	1.94	4.07	3.29	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.1
	1.92	3.78	3.18
	1.93	3.8	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.07)	3.87 ↓ (4.08)	3.22 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
47.7%

Draw
23.8%

Wolfsburg
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

22.5%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

23.3%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Real Madrid - Wolfsburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Misa (C) 19. Navarro E. 14. Mendez M. 23. Lakrar M. 12. Yasmim 10. Weir C. 16. Angeldal F. 8. Dabritz S. 20. Feller N. 11. Redondo A. 18. Caicedo L.	1. Johannes S. (G) 39. Linder S. 3. Dijkstra C. 16. Kuver C. 15. Levels J. 6. Minge J. (C) 11. Popp A. 5. Peddemors E. 10. Huth S. 9. Beerensteyn L. 19. Bussy K.
Substitutes
22. Andersson B. 17. Bennison H. 5. Comendador P. 29. Cristobal S. 7. del Castillo A. 28. Dorado I. 4. Galvez Luna R. 15. Garcia S. 21. Holmgaard S. 24. Keukelaar L. 26. Lopez L. (G) 43. Santiago I.	20. Bergsvand G. 2. Bjelde T. 25. Endemann V. 18. Kielland J. 4. Kleinherne S. 8. Lattwein L. 33. Pujols J. 12. Smolarczyk N. (G) 21. Tufekovic M. (G) 14. Vallotto S. 24. Wedemeyer M. 28. Zicai C.
Coaches
Quesada P.	Lerch S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Mendez M. ⚽, Navarro E. (A),
32', Peddemors E. 🟨,
40', Lakrar M. 🟨,
45+1', Lakrar M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Redondo A. ↓, Galvez Luna R. ↑,
56', Dijkstra C. 🟨,
61', Peddemors E. ↓, Bjelde T. ↑,
61', Linder S. ↓, Lattwein L. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Caicedo L. ⚽, Weir C. (A),
73', Dijkstra C. ↓, Bergsvand G. ↑,
73', Bussy K. ↓, Zicai C. ↑,
79', Caicedo L. ↓, Santiago I. ↑,
79', Feller N. ↓, del Castillo A. ↑,
84', Minge J. ↓, Kielland J. ↑,
87', Weir C. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
90', Santiago I. 🟥,
90+8', Navarro E. ↓, Cristobal S. ↑,

Preview

Real Madrid has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wolfsburg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Real Madrid could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Women
Spanish Liga F Women
06.12.25	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Real Madrid - Eibar	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
19.11.25	Arsenal LFC - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
15.11.25	Barcelona - Real Madrid	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
11.11.25	Real Madrid - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWLLT
- VfL Wolfsburg Women
German Bundesliga Women
05.12.25	Wolfsburg - Freiburg	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
19.11.25	Wolfsburg - Manchester United	5:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal Women
15.11.25	Wolfsburg - Freiburg	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
11.11.25	OL Lyonnes - Wolfsburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWL

Real Madrid - Wolfsburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide