Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ciudad Real Madrid (Madrid) 🌤️ ...


	Real Madrid		Leganés

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	6.5
	1.37	4.40	6.25
	1.46	4.45	6.4
	1.45	4.64	5.56
	1.38	5.05	6.96	Watch
	1.38	4.55	5.5
	1.42	4.89	6.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.25)	4.68 ↓ (5.5)	6.22 ↓ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
65.4%

Draw
19.8%

Leganés
14.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

73.2%

16.6%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Madrid's form might have worsened.

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Real Madrid - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Leganés will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Lunin A. (G) . Alexander-Arnold T. . Asencio R. . Camavinga E. . Carreras A. . Ciria A. . Garcia G. . Guler A. . Huijsen D. . Mastantuono F. . Valverde F.	13. Fernandez R. (G) 10. Buurmeester Z. 24. Diawara A. 11. Garcia N. 26. Gothler A. 27. Gueye D. 8. Kechta Y. 14. Lopez R. 2. Marvel 5. Miquel I. 7. Pena R. (C)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Valverde F. ⚽, Guler A. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Garcia G. ⚽, Alexander-Arnold T. (A),
29', Guler A. 🟨,
31', Kechta Y. ↓, Atienza M. ↑,
36', 2 - 1, Garcia N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Fernandez R. ↓, Soriano J. ↑,
46', Gueye D. ↓, Pulido R. ↑,
46', Pena R. ↓, Tejero A. ↑,
46', Miquel I. ↓, Aguilar Lopez G. ↑,
46', Asencio R. ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
46', Ciria A. ↓, Yanez D. ↑,
46', Diawara A. ↓, Campos A. ↑,
58', 3 - 1, Mastantuono F. ⚽,
60', 4 - 1, Pulido R. (Own goal),
64', Buurmeester Z. ↓, Gharbi I. ↑,
64', Marvel ↓, Siame G. ↑,
64', Lopez R. ↓, Auguste B. ↑,
69', Gothler A. ↓, Millan A. ↑,
82', Rivas M. ↓, Fati L. ↑,

Preview

No spectators.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 4.

Leganés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real is the clear favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Real won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:15. (average 2.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:6. (average 3:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
23.05.26	Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	4:2 ✺
17.05.26	Sevilla - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
14.05.26	Real Madrid - Real Oviedo	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Barcelona - Real Madrid	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Espanyol - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW
- CD Leganés
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Penafiel - Leganés	0:2 ✺
17.07.26	Leganés - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Levante - Leganés	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
31.05.26	Leganés - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Cádiz - Leganés	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
29.03.25	Real Madrid - Leganés	3:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.02.25	Leganés - Real Madrid	2:3
Spanish LaLiga
24.11.24	Leganés - Real Madrid	0:3
19.07.20	Leganés - Real Madrid	2:2
30.10.19	Real Madrid - Leganés	5:0
15.04.19	Leganés - Real Madrid	1:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.19	Leganés - Real Madrid	1:0

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