Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 17

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday


	Real Madrid C		Collado Villalba

	1	X	2
	1.18	6	12.5
	1.18	5	19
	1.13	6.32	17.43
	1.11	6.85	20
	1.18	5	19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.34)	5.83 ↑ (4.5)	17.59 ↑ (7.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid C
79.1%

Draw
15.7%

Collado Villalba
5.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

19.3%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid C's performance.

Collado Villalba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Collado Villalba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Madrid C that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collado Villalba than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Collado Villalba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Madrid C - Collado Villalba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Real Madrid C is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Collado Villalba is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Real Madrid C is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
14.01.24	Galapagar - Real Madrid C	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Real Madrid C - Leganés B	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Parla - Real Madrid C	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Real Madrid C - Alcalá	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Torrejón - Real Madrid C	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLWT
- CU Collado Villalba
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
14.01.24	Collado Villalba - Móstoles URJC	1:2 ✺
07.01.24	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Collado Villalba	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Collado Villalba - Paracuellos Antamira	1:4 ✺
03.12.23	Tres Cantos - Collado Villalba	1:3 ✺
26.11.23	Collado Villalba - Canillas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLWL

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