The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Madrid Castilla 49.3%
Draw 25.9%
Atlético Madrid B 24.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.6%
25.9%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
27.5%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Madrid B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mestre S. (G) 2. Fortea J. 21. Naasei O. 4. Rivas M. (C) 3. Aguado D. 7. Yanez D. 16. Martinez S. 6. Cestero Sancho J. 11. Leiva A. 24. Pitarch T. 19. Carvajal A.
13. Astralaga A. (G) 2. Diez S. (C) 4. Yaakobishvili A. 32. Pan Abajo P. 22. Sola A. 20. Alcaniz E. 15. Garcia D. 16. Helguera T. 21. Kamate I. 10. Cubo M. 17. Alvaro J.
Substitutes
17. Ciria A. 23. Fati L. 9. Fettal R. 10. Fortuny P. 28. Lacosta D. 27. Lezcano A. 25. Lorente F. Q. (G) 5. Martinez J. 20. Martin R. 22. Mesonero D. 13. Navarro Jimenez J. (G) 36. Ukpeigbe M.
27. Aznar J. 8. Castillo J. 31. Coulibaly I. (G) 38. Cuellar M. 1. de Luis M. (G) 29. Gil Rodriguez M. 5. Gimenez C. 14. Hueso R. 7. Koke 6. Munoz D. 18. Seidu T. 30. Vega A.
Coaches
Lopez de Lerma J.
Torres F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Carvajal A. ⚽, Rivas M. (A),
18', Fortea J. 🟨,
20', Garcia D. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Yaakobishvili A. ⚽, Helguera T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', Alcaniz E. 🟨,
61', 2 - 1, Aguado D. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Helguera T. ↓, Koke ↑,
61', Alcaniz E. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
66', Garcia D. (Penalty Awarded),
67', 2 - 2, Koke ⚽,
71', 3 - 2, Yanez D. ⚽, Fortea J. (A),
73', Diez S. ↓, Hueso R. ↑,
75', Martinez S. 🟨,
77', Martinez S. ↓, Martin R. ↑,
77', Aguado D. ↓, Lezcano A. ↑,
77', Leiva A. ↓, Ciria A. ↑,
80', Yanez D. ↓, Fortuny P. ↑,
83', Carvajal A. ↓, Fettal R. ↑,
85', Pitarch T. 🟨,
86', Alvaro J. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
86', Kamate I. ↓, Cuellar M. ↑,
87', Ciria A. 🟨,
90+2', Cuellar M. 🟨,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 14th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
In this matchup, Real Madrid Castilla is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid Castilla has recorded 3 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:20 (averaging 1.4:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Real Madrid Castilla against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 12:10 goals (averaging 2:1.7 per game).
Spain
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Mestre S. (G) 
Naasei O. 
Yaakobishvili A. 
Helguera T. 
Kamate I. 
Fettal R. 
