Match Info

Date: 25 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid)


	Real Madrid Castilla		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	5.25
	1.68	3.4	4.4
	1.72	3.5	4.1
	1.67	3.55	4.4
	1.7	3.84	4.8
	1.66	3.54	4.8
	1.7	3.65	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.62)	3.64 ↓ (3.74)	4.61 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
55%

Draw
25.2%

Badajoz
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

24%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

23%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Badajoz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Real Madrid Castilla - Badajoz Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Real Madrid Castilla will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Badajoz will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Madrid Castilla: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Real Madrid Castilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Madrid Castilla is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid Castilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.09.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Real Madrid Castilla	1:5 ✺
10.09.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
04.09.22	Ferrol - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Linense	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.22	Numancia - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLTT
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.09.22	Badajoz - Algeciras	0:1 ✺
11.09.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Badajoz	2:2 ✺
03.09.22	Badajoz - San Fernando	1:1 ✺
28.08.22	Leonesa - Badajoz	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.22	Badajoz - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.08.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Badajoz	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.05.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Badajoz	3:1
11.04.21	Badajoz - Real Madrid Castilla	2:0

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