Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 31

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Real Madrid Castilla		Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.45
	2.6	3	2.45
	2.55	3.25	2.65	Watch
	2.84	3.3	2.45
	2.84	3.3	2.45
	2.68	3.18	2.52
	2.65	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (3.23)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	2.5 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
34%

Draw
29.1%

Córdoba
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

28.5%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

28.4%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid Castilla's performance.

Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Córdoba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Madrid Castilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Córdoba than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Córdoba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Madrid Castilla - Córdoba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Canizares L. (G) 4. Carrillo A. 16. Asencio R. 5. Marvel 19. Lorenzo 6. Martin M. 8. Zidane T. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 39. Cuenca D. 10. Paz N. 9. Rodriguez A.	13. Marin C. (G) 21. Albarran C. 4. Lapena A. 16. Martinez J. 3. Calderon J. 23. Carracedo C. 22. Diarra Y. 7. Kike 6. Sala A. 17. Adilson 9. Zalazar K.
Substitutes
29. Aparicio E. 28. Campos A. 21. De Leon J. 24. de Luis M. (G) 23. Munoz V. 3. Obrador R. 15. Pujol E. 2. Tobias V.	27. Barboza M. 10. Bouzaidi S. 18. Garcia C. 11. Leiva A. 14. Recio 2. Rodriguez I. 15. Ruiz I. 1. Tarres L. (G) 19. Toril A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 0 - 1, Calderon J. ⚽,
64', Martinez J. ↓, Barboza M. ↑,
67', Cuenca D. ↓, Munoz V. ↑,
67', Zidane T. ↓, De Leon J. ↑,
72', Kike ↓, Toril A. ↑,
72', Sala A. ↓, Ruiz I. ↑,
74', Martin M. 🟨,
78', 0 - 2, Toril A. ⚽,
79', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Obrador R. ↑,
79', Carrillo A. ↓, Pujol E. ↑,
79', Marvel ↓, Aparicio E. ↑,
82', Adilson ↓, Bouzaidi S. ↑,
82', Carracedo C. ↓, Leiva A. ↑,
90+5', Ruiz I. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 3.

Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Córdoba is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Real Madrid Castilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
31.03.24	Atlético Baleares - Real Madrid Castilla	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Castellón	0:2 ✺
17.03.24	Atlético Madrid B - Real Madrid Castilla	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Antequera	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Melilla - Real Madrid Castilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLTW
- Córdoba CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.03.24	Mérida AD - Córdoba	2:2 ✺
23.03.24	Córdoba - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Castellón - Córdoba	2:3 ✺
10.03.24	Córdoba - Atlético Baleares	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Antequera - Córdoba	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.01.24	Córdoba - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.02.23	Córdoba - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2
09.10.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Córdoba	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
25.05.14	Córdoba - Real Madrid Castilla	2:0
21.12.13	Real Madrid Castilla - Córdoba	3:1
Club Friendly
03.08.13	Córdoba - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
24.03.13	Real Madrid Castilla - Córdoba	4:0

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