The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Madrid Castilla 49.8%
Draw 26.9%
Antequera 23.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.7%
24.9%
21.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.3%
27%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Antequera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Madrid Castilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Real Madrid Castilla - Antequera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mestre S. (G) 2. Fortea J. 21. Naasei O. 4. Rivas M. (C) 3. Aguado D. 20. Martin R. 6. Cestero Sancho J. 7. Yanez D. 17. Ciria A. 11. Leiva A. 19. Carvajal A.
13. Alcover D. (G) 2. Anton J. 6. Quintana A. 4. Perez I. 22. Cuenca D. 19. Bassele M. 20. Aspra J. 10. Luismi Gutierrez (C) 11. Parra M. 23. Dominguez I. 16. Gene A.
Substitutes
23. Fati L. 9. Fettal R. 10. Fortuny P. 25. Lorente F. Q. (G) 5. Martinez J. 16. Martinez S. 13. Navarro Jimenez J. (G) 39. Perez A. 14. Regueira I.
14. Aguero 24. Alarcon R. 29. Almagro S. 8. Diz Acena R. 7. Ilahude D. 18. Mangada C. 3. Martinez J. 1. Perez Morillo F. (G) 17. Zarzana A.
Coaches
Lopez de Lerma J.
Paz A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Parra M. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Cestero Sancho J. (Own goal),
42', Anton J. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Carvajal A. ⚽, Martin R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', Martin R. 🟨,
53', 2 - 1, Leiva A. ⚽,
57', Perez I. 🟥,
63', Gene A. 🟨,
64', Gene A. ↓, Ilahude D. ↑,
64', Anton J. ↓, Zarzana A. ↑,
64', Parra M. ↓, Alarcon R. ↑,
64', Dominguez I. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
67', 3 - 1, Ciria A. ⚽,
69', Yanez D. ↓, Fortuny P. ↑,
69', Ciria A. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
73', Naasei O. ↓, Fati L. ↑,
76', Fortea J. 🟨,
80', Martin R. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
80', Carvajal A. ↓, Fettal R. ↑,
81', Luismi Gutierrez ↓, Aguero ↑,
90+1', 3 - 2, Ilahude D. ⚽, Cuenca D. (A),
90+5', Aguero 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 12th and 9th).
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Antequera may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Real Madrid Castilla for this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid Castilla has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 0.8:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Real Madrid Castilla against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).
Spain
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Mestre S. (G) 
Naasei O. 
Bassele M. 
Fettal R. 
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