The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Madrid Castilla 40.9%
Draw 30.5%
Lugo 28.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
29.8%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Real Madrid Castilla - Lugo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fran (G) 21. Aguado D. 14. Cestero Sancho J. 23. Fati L. 18. Fettal R. 17. Fortea J. 15. Martinez J. 28. Martin R. 8. Moran M. A. (C) 6. Perea C. 7. Yanez D.
1. Martinez M. (C) 17. Caballo D. 5. Carbonell A. 9. Celorio N. 7. Gonzalez J. 16. Jose Amo 23. Junior L. 20. Lopez I. 14. Presa K. 4. Trigueros P. 19. Unzueta I.
Substitutes
20. Fortuny P. 11. Iglesias Lois B. 2. Jimenez D. 31. Navarro Jimenez J. (G) 5. Serrano M. 13. Sunico G. (G) 3. Valdepenas V. 9. Zuniga L.
10. Alba T. 8. Balboa A. 3. Garriz I. 24. Gaya J. 2. Merino J. 6. Nicholas N. 11. Pastrana V. 13. Piedra I. (G) 15. Reniero N. 18. Roson D. 22. Samanes S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Aguado D. 🟨,
26', Celorio N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Perea C. ↓, Fortuny P. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Cestero Sancho J. ⚽,
59', 2 - 0, Yanez D. ⚽,
61', Moran M. A. 🟨,
62', Gonzalez J. ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
63', Presa K. ↓, Pastrana V. ↑,
68', Yanez D. ↓, Zuniga L. ↑,
68', Aguado D. ↓, Valdepenas V. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Junior L. ⚽,
77', Martinez J. 🟨,
78', Celorio N. ↓, Alba T. ↑,
81', Martin R. ↓, Iglesias Lois B. ↑,
84', Unzueta I. ↓, Reniero N. ↑,
88', Fettal R. ↓, Serrano M. ↑,
90+2', Balboa A. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 2.
Real Madrid Castilla has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Real Madrid Castilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Real Madrid Castilla has had a series of home games.
Real Madrid Castilla will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Real Madrid Castilla - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.99%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.