Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Ecuador	DAZN App
Mexico	DAZN App
Nicaragua	NicaSports
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Real Madriz		Real Estelí

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.75	1.38
	6.7	4.55	1.36	Watch
	7.49	4.86	1.37	Watch
	8	4.4	1.33
	8.75	4.89	1.34	Watch
	7.5	4.33	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.32 ↑ (7.18)	4.63 ↓ (4.95)	1.35 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madriz
12.5%

Draw
19.8%

Real Estelí
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.7%

18.5%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madriz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Real Estelí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Real Madriz - Real Estelí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 🟥,
78', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madriz won 0.

In this match, Real Estelí is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Madriz won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 10:40. (average 0.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Madriz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Esteli	10	5	3	2	17:7	10	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madriz
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
16.11.25	Rancho Santana - Real Madriz	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Real Madriz - Municipal Jalapa	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	UNAN Managua - Real Madriz	2:1 ✺
15.10.25	Managua - Real Madriz	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Real Madriz - Matagalpa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Real Estelí
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
06.12.25	Managua - Real Estelí	1:2 penalties ✺
30.11.25	Real Estelí - Managua	0:2 ✺
27.11.25	Real Estelí - Walter Ferretti	2:1 ET ✺
23.11.25	Matagalpa - Real Estelí	1:0 ✺
06.11.25	Real Estelí - Sport Sébaco	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
21.09.25	Real Madriz - Real Estelí	1:3
19.03.22	Real Estelí - Real Madriz	4:0
05.02.22	Real Madriz - Real Estelí	0:0
10.10.21	Real Madriz - Real Estelí	1:2
07.08.21	Real Estelí - Real Madriz	3:0
31.03.21	Real Estelí - Real Madriz	0:1
31.01.21	Real Madriz - Real Estelí	0:1

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