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Current Win Probability
Sporting Kansas City II 18.4%
Draw 20.2%
Austin II 61.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.3%
20.1%
63.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.7%
19.3%
66.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Kansas City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Austin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Sporting Kansas City II - Austin II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
91. Molinaro J. (G) 87. Francka J. 41. Lurot P. (C) 54. Antongirolami L. 34. Russo D. 44. Quintero G. 76. Ortiz J. 48. Mabie B. 96. Rodriguez M. 77. Hines K. 88. Donovan S.
13. Lauta E. (G) 2. Thomas R. 4. Watt E. 5. Bery J. 3. Dobruna D. 24. Hot K. 6. Barro D. 10. Alastuey J. (C) 7. Abarca D. 22. Sall I. 37. Feliciano L.
Substitutes
66. Brooks E. 47. Burns T. 52. Dean F. 97. Derksen C. 70. Haas T. 37. Ikoba T. 12. Kortkamp J. (G) 50. Worcester S.
18. Cayelli P. 23. Che N. 14. Ciesla D. 9. Danciutiu V. 21. Dobrijevic S. 40. Flynn L. (G) 49. Romero D. 16. Ruszel M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
8', Dobruna D. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Abarca D. ⚽, Thomas R. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Sall I. ⚽, Alastuey J. (A),
45+1', Quintero G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dobruna D. ↓, Cayelli P. ↑,
52', Sall I. 🟨,
57', Hines K. ↓, Ikoba T. ↑,
57', Quintero G. ↓, Derksen C. ↑,
58', Abarca D. 🟨,
62', Abarca D. ↓, Ruszel M. ↑,
62', Feliciano L. ↓, Dobrijevic S. ↑,
62', Sall I. ↓, Danciutiu V. ↑,
66', 0 - 3, Ruszel M. ⚽, Dobrijevic S. (A),
69', Ortiz J. ↓, Haas T. ↑,
69', Russo D. ↓, Worcester S. ↑,
70', Hot K. 🟨,
76', Bery J. ↓, Che N. ↑,
87', Thomas R. 🟨,
89', Lauta E. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting KC II won 1.
Sporting KC II has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Austin II is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Austin II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Austin II is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sporting KC II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting KC II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
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Molinaro J. (G) 
Lurot P. (C) 
Ortiz J. 
Dobruna D. 
Barro D. 
Alastuey J. (C) 
Sall I. 
Ciesla D. 
Danciutiu V. 
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