Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Enrique Roca (Murcia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Real Murcia		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	1.8	3	4.2
	1.85	3.1	4.45
	1.9	3.05	5.09
	1.84	3.14	4.73	Watch
	1.83	3.04	4.49
	1.84	2.8	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.84)	3.02 ↓ (3.11)	4.62 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
49.8%

Draw
30.4%

Alcorcón
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

29.3%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

27.7%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Real Murcia - Alcorcón Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Murcia will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 34. Sanchez J. G. 26. Perez H. 2. Mier J. 18. Vicente D. 16. Antonio David 31. Djanbou S. 30. Joao Pedro Palmberg 22. Juan Carlos 9. Benito P. A. P. 23. Bosilj D.	1. Ayesa G. (G) 4. Rojas J. 6. Perez I. 3. Nieto S. 17. Lanchi 10. Ballesteros Y. 18. Aguado T. 14. Vacas L. 7. Aparicio E. 21. Llorente R. 11. Kopotun V.
Substitutes
32. Adebayo K. 11. Bustos A. 36. Garcia M. (G) 10. Gomez I. 35. Kajaia S. (G) 38. Lara M. 14. Leon P. 4. Lopez A. 19. Matheus Cadorini 8. Schalk A. 20. Zenitagoia E.	9. Carmona M. 8. Martinez B. 13. Marti O. (G) 23. Navarro D. 24. Perez L. 19. Pola J. 5. Rai 15. Rodriguez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Juan Carlos ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lanchi ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
50', Vacas L. 🟨,
51', 🟨,
56', Vacas L. ↓, Carmona M. ↑,
59', Joao Pedro Palmberg ↓, Zenitagoia E. ↑,
59', Juan Carlos ↓, Bustos A. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Bosilj D. ⚽,
73', Bosilj D. ↓, Gomez I. ↑,
74', Aparicio E. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
74', Aguado T. ↓, Navarro D. ↑,
82', 🟨,
84', Mier J. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
84', Benito P. A. P. ↓, Schalk A. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Perez I. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 1.

Murcia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Alcorcón has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Alcorcón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Murcia is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Murcia won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.11.25	Antequera - Real Murcia	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Real Murcia - Teruel	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Real Murcia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Betis B - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Real Murcia - Antequera	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTWWW
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.11.25	Alcorcón - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Alcorcón - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Marbella - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Alcorcón - Sevilla B	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Algeciras - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.04.25	Alcorcón - Real Murcia	2:1
06.10.24	Real Murcia - Alcorcón	3:1
Club Friendly
10.08.22	Real Murcia - Alcorcón	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
27.04.14	Real Murcia - Alcorcón	1:1
24.11.13	Alcorcón - Real Murcia	0:0
31.03.13	Real Murcia - Alcorcón	1:1
28.10.12	Alcorcón - Real Murcia	1:0

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