Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 15 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Pinatar Arena (Murcia)


	Real Murcia		Hajduk Split

	1	X	2
	3.32	3.78	1.91	Watch
	3.2	3.6	1.9
	3.38	3.54	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.98)	3.64 ↑ (3.44)	1.91 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
27.5%

Draw
24.9%

Hajduk Split
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

26.5%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

26.9%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Real Murcia - Hajduk Split Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hajduk will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Piedra I. (G) 9. Benito P. A. P. 7. Buron L. 21. Cadete 11. Carrillo J. 6. Gonzalez A. 8. Larrea P. 23. Lopez A. 30. Palmberg 17. Rojas C. 19. Soler K.	40. Buljan B. (G) 27. Biuk S. 5. Diallo I. 34. Durdov B. 7. Kalik A. 23. Krovinovic F. (C) 3. Prpic D. 31. Sarlija Z. 36. Skelin M. 9. Trajkovski A. 6. Zaper M.
Substitutes
16. Boateng R. 1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 10. Gomez I. 5. Jaso Zunzarren A. 22. Juan Carlos 14. Leon P. 29. Matheus Cadorini 2. Mier J. 12. Raul A. 4. Saveljich E. 27. Toral A. 18. Vicente D.	41. Bezeljak R. (G) 16. Calusic M. 43. Djolonga N. 1. Fesyuk D. (G) 45. Fridl N. 35. Jurak L. 22. Mlacic B. 37. Skoko N. 18. Zeravica M. 77. Zudin D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Carrillo J. ⚽,
32', Lopez A. ↓, Jaso Zunzarren A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Trajkovski A. ↓, Zeravica M. ↑,
60', Piedra I. ↓, Gazzaniga G. ↑,
60', Gonzalez A. ↓, Saveljich E. ↑,
60', Larrea P. ↓, Juan Carlos ↑,
60', Benito P. A. P. ↓, Moha Moukhliss ↑,
60', Soler K. ↓, Toral A. ↑,
62', Kalik A. 🟨,
65', Moha Moukhliss ↓, Raul A. ↑,
68', Sarlija Z. ↓, Jurak L. ↑,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Murcia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hajduk will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.01.25	Antequera - Real Murcia	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.01.25	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.12.24	Real Murcia - Intercity	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Fuenlabrada - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
06.12.24	Real Murcia - Real Madrid Castilla	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTTW
- Hajduk Split
Club Friendly
14.01.25	Hajduk Split - Ujpest	1:2 ✺
09.01.25	Hajduk Split - Osnabrück	1:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
22.12.24	Šibenik - Hajduk Split	1:2 ✺
15.12.24	Hajduk Split - Rijeka	2:2 ✺
07.12.24	Gorica - Hajduk Split	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWWTL

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