Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 17

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio José Rico Pérez (Alicante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Hércules		Alcoyano

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.8	3.25
	2.15	2.87	3.2
	2.26	2.95	3.35
	2.31	2.95	3.34
	2.24	2.93	3.33	Watch
	2.25	3.02	3.26
	2.26	2.95	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.14)	2.92 ↓ (3.05)	3.3 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
40.9%

Draw
31.3%

Alcoyano
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

29.9%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28.8%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Alcoyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Hércules - Alcoyano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (G) 15. Vazquez S. 4. Montoro A. 5. Gomez Meneses J. M. 21. Retu 11. Moreno Sanchez J. 14. Garcia M. 8. Artiles J. 22. Aranda A. 7. Alvarito 9. Coscia A.	1. Garcia M. (G) 3. Rodriguez A. 6. Garcia I. 7. Herrera C. 12. Granero B. 14. Anton J. 17. Lopez S. 18. Atienza P. 19. Losada M. 20. Undabarrena E. 23. Pastrana V.
Substitutes
13. Almodovar N. (G) 16. Angong F. 2. Cantero R. 6. Colomina R. 24. de Palmas R. 10. Espinosa N. 28. Galvan J. 19. Mangada C. 17. Mendes M. 12. Richmond S. 23. Romera D. 20. Sotillos A.	5. Albisua H. 4. Farru 2. Ferriz P. 10. Lara J. A. 15. Morgado P. 9. Niang M. 22. Rojo J. 13. Valens J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Alvarito 🟨,
28', Garcia I. 🟨,
28', Lopez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Lopez S. ↓, Rojo J. ↑,
64', Alvarito ↓, Romera D. ↑,
64', Coscia A. ↓, Colomina R. ↑,
68', Artiles J. 🟨,
82', Garcia M. ↓, Espinosa N. ↑,
82', Herrera C. ↓, Niang M. ↑,
82', Artiles J. ↓, Mangada C. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 0, Romera D. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hércules won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Alcoyano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Alcoyano have a series of home games.

Hércules will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Hércules won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10:16 (average 0.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Hércules won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:9 (average 0.3:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Hércules - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.78%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.12.24	Mérida AD - Hércules	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Hércules - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Recreativo Huelva - Hércules	2:1 ✺
20.11.24	Hércules - Marbella	2:1 ✺
17.11.24	Hércules - Villarreal B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWL
- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.12.24	Alcoyano - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Alcoyano	1:2 ✺
24.11.24	Alcoyano - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Alcoyano - Sevilla B	1:1 ✺
13.11.24	Alcoyano - Villarreal B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.08.23	Alcoyano - Hércules	0:1
12.08.22	Alcoyano - Hércules	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
17.01.21	Hércules - Alcoyano	0:0
15.11.20	Alcoyano - Hércules	0:0
06.04.19	Hércules - Alcoyano	0:0
18.11.18	Alcoyano - Hércules	1:0
14.01.18	Hércules - Alcoyano	1:2

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