The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Antequera 43.3%
Draw 31.6%
Tarazona 25.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.7%
30.4%
22.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
24.6%
28.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Antequera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Tarazona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Antequera that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Antequera - Tarazona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Alcover D. (G) 2. Anton J. 3. Albentosa R. 22. Quintana A. 19. Rodriguez I. 18. Bassele M. 20. Aspra J. 10. Luismi Gutierrez (C) 17. Parra M. 9. Ribeiro 11. Siddiki O.
1. Josele (G) 16. Delmas J. 5. Traore B. 4. Trilles M. (C) 3. Martinez Chechu 21. Nieto C. 8. Ramon T. 6. Carrasco O. 23. Busi 19. Armero S. 17. Jimenez A.
Substitutes
7. Biabiany J. 21. Chit O. 8. Clavijo D. 23. Diz Acena R. 16. Gene A. 24. Ilahude D. 1. Perez S. (G) 6. Ramos D. 15. Raul Gimenez 14. Sanchez E.
10. Aguero 15. Alonso I. 13. Amigo (G) 2. Lopez A. 20. Martinez J. 7. Soto D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Aspra J. ↓, Ramos D. ↑,
34', 0 - 1, Armero S. ⚽,
45+6', Trilles M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Luismi Gutierrez (Penalty Awarded),
56', 2 - 1, Luismi Gutierrez ⚽,
58', 2 - 2, Delmas J. ⚽,
63', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
69', Parra M. ↓, Ilahude D. ↑,
69', Ribeiro ↓, Biabiany J. ↑,
79', Delmas J. 🟨,
85', Bassele M. ↓, Diz Acena R. ↑,
85', Rodriguez I. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
90+9', 2 - 3, Aguero ⚽,
90+12', 🟨,
90+12', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Antequera has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Tarazona has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Antequera is seen as the favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Antequera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.