Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 27

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Enrique Roca (Murcia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Real Murcia		Atlético Sanluqueño

	1	X	2
	1.38	3.8	7.5
	1.4	3.95	7.9
	1.4	4.19	8.51
	1.48	3.92	7.14	Watch
	1.4	3.7	7.5
	1.37	3.94	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.39)	3.92 ↑ (3.9)	7.86 ↓ (8.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
65%

Draw
23.3%

Atlético Sanluqueño
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

23.2%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

22.5%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Atlético Sanluqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Real Murcia - Atlético Sanluqueño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 2. Mier J. 4. Garcia H. J. 6. Gonzalez A. 3. Romero C. 19. Jorquera Romero J. 21. Djanbou S. 22. Juan Carlos 15. Gil O. 9. Benito P. A. P. 17. Narro V.	13. Dominguez R. (G) 2. Sola Villalba R. 14. Pavon A. (C) 12. Ukwuije N. 3. Cabrera J. 5. Niza S. 21. Satoca D. 26. Andujar J. 20. Lobede U. 17. Rodri 19. Juarez A.
Substitutes
16. Antonio David 23. Bosilj D. 11. Bustos A. 43. Caio Matheus 10. Gomez I. 14. Leon P. 8. Ortuno J. 13. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 34. Sanchez J. G. 18. Vicente D. 20. Zenitagoia E.	24. Ajouaou V. 4. Almagro S. 30. Barea P. 28. Bargallo A. 15. Denia M. 18. Diallo B. 7. Kikin 6. Mulenga T. 1. Rocafort R. (G) 11. Simon L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Juarez A. ⚽,
29', Djanbou S. 🟨,
30', Mier J. 🟨,
40', Sola Villalba R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Benito P. A. P. ↓, Bosilj D. ↑,
46', Djanbou S. ↓, Gomez I. ↑,
52', Juarez A. ↓, Denia M. ↑,
54', Juan Carlos 🟨,
59', Juan Carlos ↓, Bustos A. ↑,
59', Jorquera Romero J. ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
80', Narro V. 🟨,
82', Andujar J. 🟨,
85', Gonzalez A. ↓, Leon P. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 2.

Murcia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Sanluqueño has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Murcia is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Murcia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Murcia	6	4	0	2	10:7	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.03.26	Villarreal B - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Real Murcia - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Alcorcón - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Teruel - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Real Murcia - Algeciras	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLTL
- Atlético Sanluqueño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.02.26	Atlético Sanluqueño - Marbella	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Sabadell - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Atlético Sanluqueño - Atlético Madrid B	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Tarazona - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Atlético Sanluqueño - Betis B	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.01.26	Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Murcia	0:2
17.05.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Murcia	0:0
24.11.24	Real Murcia - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0
23.03.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Murcia	0:1
09.09.23	Real Murcia - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.10.19	Real Murcia - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:2
13.01.19	Real Murcia - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0

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