Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Enrique Roca (Murcia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
Argentina	Flow Eventos, Flow Sports
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	RCN Television, Win play
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
India	FanCode, FanCode
Italy	DAZN Italia
North-central-america	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
Paraguay	Flow Eventos
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar 3, M+ LaLiga
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Uruguay	Flow
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Inter, Meridiano


	Real Murcia		Betis

	1	X	2
	7	4.5	1.39	Watch
	6.9	4.45	1.41
	7.58	4.7	1.42
	7.26	4.64	1.43	Watch
	7	4.4	1.4	Watch
	7.48	4.57	1.43	Watch
	7.5	4.5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.25 ↑ (5.76)	4.54 ↑ (3.85)	1.41 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
12.9%

Draw
20.7%

Betis
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

24.1%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

23.6%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Betis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Betis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Betis than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Betis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Real Murcia - Betis Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Betis will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Betis will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 2. Mier J. 5. Jaso Zunzarren A. 6. Gonzalez A. 3. Romero C. 31. Djanbou S. 38. Lara M. 14. Leon P. 34. Sanchez J. G. 23. Bosilj D. 11. Bustos A.	13. Adrian (G) 40. Ortiz A. 5. Bartra M. (C) 4. Natan 16. Gomez V. 52. Garcia P. 18. Deossa N. 6. Altimira S. 17. Riquelme R. 9. Avila C. 19. Cucho Hernandez
Substitutes
16. Antonio David 9. Benito P. A. P. 1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 10. Gomez I. 30. Joao Pedro Palmberg 22. Juan Carlos 4. Lopez A. 26. Perez H. 18. Vicente D. 17. Zeka A. 20. Zenitagoia E.	1. Alvaro Valles (G) 7. Antony 2. Bellerin H. 8. Fornals P. 20. Lo Celso G. 25. Lopez P. (G) 28. Mensah M. 27. Morante J. 12. Rodriguez R. 24. Ruibal A.
Coaches
Colunga A.	Pellegrini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Cucho Hernandez (Penalty Awarded),
38', Natan 🟨,
38', Cucho Hernandez 🟨,
40', Deossa N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Djanbou S. ↓, Antonio David ↑,
46', Natan ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
46', Garcia P. ↓, Fornals P. ↑,
55', Jaso Zunzarren A. ↓, Perez H. ↑,
55', Leon P. ↓, Zeka A. ↑,
69', Lara M. ↓, Gomez I. ↑,
69', Bustos A. ↓, Joao Pedro Palmberg ↑,
69', Avila C. ↓, Antony ↑,
78', Riquelme R. ↓, Ruibal A. ↑,
85', 0 - 2, Pineiro del Alamo D. (Own goal),
87', Cucho Hernandez ↓, Lo Celso G. ↑,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Betis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Betis has had a series of away games.

In this match, Betis is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.12.25	Real Murcia - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
08.12.25	Cartagena - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Real Murcia - Cádiz	3:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.11.25	Real Murcia - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Antequera - Real Murcia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LWWWW
- Real Betis
Spanish LaLiga
15.12.25	Rayo Vallecano - Betis	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Betis	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
06.12.25	Betis - Barcelona	3:5 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Torrent - Betis	1:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.25	Sevilla - Betis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLWW

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