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Current Win Probability
Real Murcia B 32.3%
Draw 33.8%
Mazarrón 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
28.3%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
30%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Murcia B's form might have worsened.
Mazarrón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia B than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Murcia B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazarrón than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Real Murcia B - Mazarrón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', 1 - 0, ⚽,
76', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 1-1.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia B won 1.
Recent form of Murcia B has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Mazarrón's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Murcia B won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Murcia B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).