Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Real Murcia B		Muleño

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.25	6.1
	1.4	4.57	6.66
	1.07	9.40	25.00	Watch
	1.28	4.65	9.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.36)	5.72 ↑ (4.45)	11.8 ↑ (7.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia B
74.9%

Draw
16.9%

Muleño
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

20.4%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

19.2%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Murcia B's performance.

Muleño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia B than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muleño than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Real Murcia B - Muleño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
83', 2 - 0, ⚽,
86', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia B won 4.

Murcia B is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Muleño has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Murcia B is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Murcia B will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Murcia B won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:8. (average 2.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Murcia B won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 2.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
08.03.26	Real Murcia B - Yeclano B	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Minerva - Real Murcia B	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Real Murcia B - Pulpileño	3:2 ✺
08.02.26	Real Murcia B - UCAM Murcia B	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Mazarrón - Real Murcia B	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL
- Muleño CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
07.03.26	Muleño - Unión Molinense	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Yeclano B - Muleño	3:3 ✺
22.02.26	Muleño - Atlético Santa Cruz	0:4 ✺
15.02.26	Minerva - Muleño	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Muleño - Santomera	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
02.11.25	Muleño - Real Murcia B	2:4
16.03.25	Real Murcia B - Muleño	5:0
18.12.24	Muleño - Real Murcia B	1:1
21.04.24	Muleño - Real Murcia B	0:2
03.12.23	Real Murcia B - Muleño	5:0
02.04.23	Muleño - Real Murcia B	0:0
04.12.22	Real Murcia B - Muleño	2:1

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