Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 5

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

Referee: Barrera R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
World	Disney+


	Real Oviedo		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	6.25	Watch
	1.55	3.6	5.75
	1.55	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.58	3.84	6.94
	1.6	3.78	6.31	Watch
	1.65	3.5	5.5
	1.59	3.82	6.2	Watch
	1.55	3.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.71)	3.74 ↑ (3.65)	6.24 ↑ (5.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
59.8%

Draw
25.2%

Cartagena
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

26.1%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

25.6%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Real Oviedo - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Oviedo will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 2. Lemos A. 15. Luengo O. 12. Calvo D. 3. Alhassane R. 11. Colombatto S. 6. Sibo K. 23. Hassan H. 8. Cazorla S. 16. Chaira I. 9. Alemao	1. Cunat P. (G) 19. Aguirregabiria M. 2. Moreno J. 24. Sipcic N. 12. Vukcevic A. 6. Mini 18. Musto D. 8. Munoz L. 20. Izquierdo J. 7. Valles G. 23. Teguia C.
Substitutes
24. Ahijado L. 1. Braat Q. (G) 27. Cardero A. 4. Costas D. 18. de la Fuente P. 5. del Moral A. 22. Dotor C. 17. Masca 7. Moyano F. 14. Paraschiv D. 21. Pomares C. 20. Seoane J.	26. Andugar A. 17. Andy 10. Escriche D. 40. Fuidias T. (G) 34. Gonzalez H. 28. Hernandez J. 9. Ortuno A. 30. Reyes J. (G) 3. Rios Reina J. 37. Roman P. 27. Sanchez Alcaraz C.
Coaches
Calleja J.	Abelardo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Vukcevic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Calvo D. 🟨,
65', Alemao ↓, Paraschiv D. ↑,
65', Hassan H. ↓, Moyano F. ↑,
66', Cunat P. 🟨,
69', Lemos A. 🟨,
70', Chaira I. 🟨,
73', Sibo K. ↓, Seoane J. ↑,
73', Chaira I. ↓, de la Fuente P. ↑,
73', Munoz L. ↓, Andy ↑,
75', Musto D. 🟨,
80', Valles G. ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
80', Izquierdo J. ↓, Roman P. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Colombatto S. ⚽, Moyano F. (A),
85', Teguia C. ↓, Gonzalez H. ↑,
86', Mini ↓, Escriche D. ↑,
87', Cazorla S. ↓, Dotor C. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 1.

Oviedo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cartagena is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oviedo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Oviedo have a series of guest games.

In this match Oviedo is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
07.09.24	Sporting de Gijón - Real Oviedo	3:1 ✺
30.08.24	Real Oviedo - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
25.08.24	Castellón - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
17.08.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Oviedo	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.24	Leganés - Real Oviedo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTWL
- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
08.09.24	Cartagena - Levante	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Eldense - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
26.08.24	Cartagena - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
18.08.24	Burgos - Cartagena	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.24	Albacete Balompié - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
22.04.24	Cartagena - Real Oviedo	2:0
13.11.23	Real Oviedo - Cartagena	1:1
17.02.23	Cartagena - Real Oviedo	2:1
02.10.22	Real Oviedo - Cartagena	1:3
03.04.22	Cartagena - Real Oviedo	1:2
12.09.21	Real Oviedo - Cartagena	2:0
06.02.21	Cartagena - Real Oviedo	2:0

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