Match Info

LaLiga - Round 20

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona)

Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	DSports
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free, New World TV
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Osasuna		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	5	Watch
	1.78	3.45	4.95	Watch
	1.76	3.51	5.11	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.8
	1.83	3.6	5.23	Watch
	1.76	3.4	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.73)	3.44 ↓ (3.47)	5.07 ↓ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasuna
53.6%

Draw
27.6%

Real Oviedo
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

27.1%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

26.9%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.4%	15.4%	10.3%

Osasuna - Real Oviedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Osasuna will win (votes: 29 - 76.3%). Oviedo will win (votes: 3 - 7.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osasuna: 62.8% – 89.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Osasuna (votes: 5 - 50%). Oviedo (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.99) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Oviedo (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Osasuna (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Oviedo (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrera S. (G) 19. Rosier V. 24. Catena A. 5. Herrando J. 20. Galan J. 6. Torro L. 16. Gomez M. 14. Garcia R. (C) 10. Oroz A. 21. Munoz V. 17. Budimir A.	13. Escandell A. (G) 24. Ahijado L. 4. Costas D. (C) 15. Luengo O. 3. Alhassane R. 10. Hassan H. 6. Sibo K. 11. Colombatto S. 7. Chaira I. 5. Reina A. 9. Vinas F.
Substitutes
41. Arguibide I. 11. Barja K. 18. Becker S. 22. Boyomo F. 23. Bretones A. 3. Cruz J. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 9. Garcia R. 8. Munoz I. 29. Osambela A.	27. Agudin P. 17. Borbas T. 12. Calvo D. 8. Cazorla S. 20. Dendoncker L. 23. Fonseca N. 19. Fores A. 21. Ilic L. 25. Lopez J. 1. Moldovan H. (G) 26. Narvaez M. (G) 22. Vidal N.
Coaches
Lisci A.	Almada G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Sibo K. 🟨,
22', Chaira I. 🟨,
36', Costas D. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Vinas F. ⚽, Hassan H. (A),
45', 1 - 1, Budimir A. ⚽, Galan J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', Gomez M. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Reina A. ⚽, Luengo O. (A),
71', Sibo K. ↓, Dendoncker L. ↑,
71', Colombatto S. ↓, Fonseca N. ↑,
73', Torro L. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
73', Rosier V. ↓, Boyomo F. ↑,
73', Herrando J. ↓, Barja K. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Budimir A. ⚽, Boyomo F. (A),
77', Garcia R. 🟨,
85', Fonseca N. 🟨,
86', Hassan H. ↓, Ilic L. ↑,
88', Almada G. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 2, Munoz V. ⚽,
90+4', Oroz A. ↓, Osambela A. ↑,
90+4', Ahijado L. ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
90+5', Catena A. 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Osasuna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Osasuna is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Osasuna: Benito I. (Knee Injury) Moncayola J. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Oviedo: Bailly E. (Ankle Injury) Carmo D. (Yellow Cards) Ejaria O. (Injury) Lemos A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Osasuna won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Osasuna: 0.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6:13	-7	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasuna
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.01.26	Real Sociedad - Osasuna	3:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.01.26	Girona - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Osasuna - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Osasuna - Deportivo Alavés	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Huesca - Osasuna	2:4 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLTWW
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
10.01.26	Real Oviedo - Betis	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Deportivo Alavés - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Real Oviedo - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Sevilla - Real Oviedo	4:0 ✺
05.12.25	Real Oviedo - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
03.11.25	Real Oviedo - Osasuna	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
08.06.19	Osasuna - Real Oviedo	1:0
20.10.18	Real Oviedo - Osasuna	2:1
12.05.18	Osasuna - Real Oviedo	2:1
10.12.17	Real Oviedo - Osasuna	1:0
04.06.16	Real Oviedo - Osasuna	0:5
16.01.16	Osasuna - Real Oviedo	0:0

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