What is the expert prediction for Real Oviedo vs Celta de Vigo?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Real Oviedo vs Celta de Vigo. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Real Oviedo vs Celta de Vigo Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, December 20, 2025)

Match Info

LaLiga - Round 17

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 3
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Sports 5, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Real Oviedo		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.55	3.15	2.22	Watch
	3.63	3.29	2.2
	3.57	3.3	2.16	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.15
	3.71	3.33	2.17	Watch
	3.33	3.33	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.31)	3.24 ↓ (3.54)	2.19 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
27.1%

Draw
29.4%

Celta de Vigo
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

26.9%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

26.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.1%	11%	84.9%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Celta (1.51) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Celta (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Celta de Vigo will win (62 of 73 users predict this - 84.93%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.72% – 93.14%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Celta de Vigo will win (32 of 33 users predict this - 96.97%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 37 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 36 - 97.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 24. Ahijado L. 4. Costas D. (C) 2. Bailly E. 3. Alhassane R. 6. Sibo K. 11. Colombatto S. 7. Chaira I. 5. Reina A. 18. Brekalo J. 9. Vinas F.	13. Radu I. (G) 12. Fernandez M. 2. Starfelt C. 20. Alonso M. 17. Rueda J. 8. Beltran F. (C) 16. Roman M. 5. Carreira S. 19. Swedberg W. 9. Jutgla F. 15. Zaragoza B.
Substitutes
27. Agudin P. 12. Calvo D. 8. Cazorla S. 20. Dendoncker L. 19. Fores A. 10. Hassan H. 21. Ilic L. 25. Lopez J. 15. Luengo O. 1. Moldovan H. (G) 26. Narvaez M. (G) 23. Rondon S.	4. Aidoo J. 23. Alvarez H. 10. Aspas I. 11. Cervi F. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 30. Gonzalez H. 29. Lago Y. 3. Mingueza O. 6. Moriba I. 14. Rodriguez D. 32. Rodriguez J. 1. Villar I. (G)
Coaches
Almada G.	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Colombatto S. 🟨,
33', Ahijado L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Fernandez M. 🟨,
63', Beltran F. ↓, Moriba I. ↑,
63', Zaragoza B. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
71', Brekalo J. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
76', Fernandez M. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
77', Swedberg W. ↓, El Abdellaoui J. ↑,
82', Reina A. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,
82', Chaira I. ↓, Rondon S. ↑,
83', Jutgla F. ↓, Alvarez H. ↑,
86', Vinas F. ↓, Ilic L. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 8).

Recent form of Oviedo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Celta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Celta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Celta might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Oviedo: Carmo D. (Red Card) Domingues B. (Inactive) Ejaria O. (Injury) Lemos A. (Knee Injury) Vidal N. (Injury)

There will not play in Celta: Aidoo J. (Muscle Injury) Dominguez C. (Groin Injury) Duran P. (Shoulder Injury) Iglesias B. (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
14.12.25	Sevilla - Real Oviedo	4:0 ✺
05.12.25	Real Oviedo - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Real Oviedo	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Real Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Athletic Bilbao - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLTL
- Celta de Vigo
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Albacete Balompié - Celta de Vigo	3:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga
14.12.25	Celta de Vigo - Athletic Bilbao	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Celta de Vigo - Bologna	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
07.12.25	Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Sant Andreu - Celta de Vigo	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 LWLWW

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