Match Info

LaLiga - Round 17

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Real Oviedo		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.55	3.15	2.22	Watch
	3.63	3.29	2.2
	3.57	3.3	2.16	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.15
	3.71	3.33	2.17	Watch
	3.33	3.33	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.31)	3.24 ↓ (3.54)	2.19 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
27.1%

Draw
29.4%

Celta de Vigo
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

26.9%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

26.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.1%	11%	84.9%

Real Oviedo - Celta de Vigo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Celta (1.51) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.5 - Celta (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Celta de Vigo will win (62 of 73 users predict this - 84.93%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.72% – 93.14%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Celta de Vigo will win (32 of 33 users predict this - 96.97%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 37 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 36 - 97.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 24. Ahijado L. 4. Costas D. (C) 2. Bailly E. 3. Alhassane R. 6. Sibo K. 11. Colombatto S. 7. Chaira I. 5. Reina A. 18. Brekalo J. 9. Vinas F.	13. Radu I. (G) 12. Fernandez M. 2. Starfelt C. 20. Alonso M. 17. Rueda J. 8. Beltran F. (C) 16. Roman M. 5. Carreira S. 19. Swedberg W. 9. Jutgla F. 15. Zaragoza B.
Substitutes
27. Agudin P. 12. Calvo D. 8. Cazorla S. 20. Dendoncker L. 19. Fores A. 10. Hassan H. 21. Ilic L. 25. Lopez J. 15. Luengo O. 1. Moldovan H. (G) 26. Narvaez M. (G) 23. Rondon S.	4. Aidoo J. 23. Alvarez H. 10. Aspas I. 11. Cervi F. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 30. Gonzalez H. 29. Lago Y. 3. Mingueza O. 6. Moriba I. 14. Rodriguez D. 32. Rodriguez J. 1. Villar I. (G)
Coaches
Almada G.	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Colombatto S. 🟨,
33', Ahijado L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Fernandez M. 🟨,
63', Beltran F. ↓, Moriba I. ↑,
63', Zaragoza B. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
71', Brekalo J. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
76', Fernandez M. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
77', Swedberg W. ↓, El Abdellaoui J. ↑,
82', Reina A. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,
82', Chaira I. ↓, Rondon S. ↑,
83', Jutgla F. ↓, Alvarez H. ↑,
86', Vinas F. ↓, Ilic L. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 8).

Recent form of Oviedo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Celta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Celta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Celta might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Oviedo: Carmo D. (Red Card) Domingues B. (Inactive) Ejaria O. (Injury) Lemos A. (Knee Injury) Vidal N. (Injury)

There will not play in Celta: Aidoo J. (Muscle Injury) Dominguez C. (Groin Injury) Duran P. (Shoulder Injury) Iglesias B. (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
14.12.25	Sevilla - Real Oviedo	4:0 ✺
05.12.25	Real Oviedo - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Real Oviedo	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Real Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Athletic Bilbao - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLTL
- Celta de Vigo
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Albacete Balompié - Celta de Vigo	3:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga
14.12.25	Celta de Vigo - Athletic Bilbao	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Celta de Vigo - Bologna	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
07.12.25	Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Sant Andreu - Celta de Vigo	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 LWLWW

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