Match Info

Date: 28 October 2020, Wednesday


	Real Oviedo		UD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.8	4.33	Watch
	2.15	2.85	3.9
	2.2	3	3.65	Watch
	2.11	2.8	4
	2.19	3.01	4.19
	2.3	2.75	3.7	Watch
	2.2	2.85	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.5)	2.87 ↑ (2.83)	3.98 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
43.4%

Draw
32.9%

UD Logroñés
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

33.3%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

22.6%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Oviedo's performance.

UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UD Logroñés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Oviedo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+19.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Logroñés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.3%	34%	10.6%

Real Oviedo - UD Logroñés Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 26 - 55.3%). Logroñés will win (votes: 5 - 10.6%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 34%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oviedo: 41.1% – 69.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Oviedo has a chance of relegated (28%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (9%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Logroñés has a chance of relegated (43%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Oviedo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Logroñés is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Logroñés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Oviedo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.20	Leganés - Real Oviedo	2:1 ✺
22.10.20	Real Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
18.10.20	Girona - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
11.10.20	Real Oviedo - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
03.10.20	Albacete Balompié - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLWT
- UD Logroñés
Spanish LaLiga2
24.10.20	UD Logroñés - Lugo	2:3 ✺
21.10.20	Fuenlabrada - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
17.10.20	UD Logroñés - Leganés	0:1 ✺
10.10.20	UD Logroñés - Almería	1:0 ✺
03.10.20	Las Palmas - UD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.02.15	UD Logroñés - Real Oviedo	1:1
05.10.14	Real Oviedo - UD Logroñés	1:0
26.01.14	UD Logroñés - Real Oviedo	1:4
15.09.13	Real Oviedo - UD Logroñés	2:1

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