Match Info

Date: 10 October 2020, Saturday


	UD Logroñés		Almería

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.6	Watch
	3.2	3	2.35
	3.15	2.85	2.5	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.44
	3.3	2.97	2.58
	3	2.75	2.7	Watch
	3.26	2.86	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.94)	2.89 ↑ (2.8)	2.53 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés
30%

Draw
32.7%

Almería
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

33.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

23.4%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD Logroñés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almería could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UD Logroñés - Almería Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Logroñés has a chance of relegated (35%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Almería has a small chance of relegated (9%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (26%), has a small chance of promoted (15%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Recent matches Logroñés is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Almería is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés
Spanish LaLiga2
03.10.20	Las Palmas - UD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
26.09.20	UD Logroñés - Castellón	1:1 ✺
12.09.20	Sporting de Gijón - UD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.09.20	UD Logroñés - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
29.08.20	UD Logroñés - Athletic Bilbao	3:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLWW
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
04.10.20	Almería - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
27.09.20	Lugo - Almería	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.09.20	Cádiz - Almería	1:1 ✺
05.09.20	Almería - Espanyol	0:4 ✺
02.09.20	Almería - Betis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTLL

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