Match Info

LaLiga - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	10:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	00:00	beIN Connect
Austria	14:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	19:00	Begin
Bosnia And Herzegovina	14:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	15:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	08:00	TSN+
China	21:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	08:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	14:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	14:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	14:00	TV2 Play
Finland	15:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	17:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	14:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	15:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	21:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	14:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	18:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	15:00	ONE Sport
Italy	14:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	16:00	Gotv
Kosovo	14:00	Arena Premium 3
Laos	20:00	beIN Connect
Macao	21:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	18:00	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	14:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	07:00	Canal 5, Sky Sport, VIX+, ViX Premium
Netherlands	14:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	02:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	14:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	14:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Philippines	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	14:00	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	13:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	15:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	14:00	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	21:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	14:00	Voyo
Slovenia	14:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	15:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
Spain	14:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	14:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	14:00	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Thailand	20:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	16:00	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	15:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	13:00	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	08:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	20:00	K+, SCTV 15


	Real Oviedo		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.45	3.2	2.22	Watch
	3.42	3.35	2.29
	3.26	3.33	2.25	Watch
	3.58	3.33	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (3.26)	3.28 ↓ (3.33)	2.25 (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
28%

Draw
29.3%

Rayo Vallecano
42.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.2%

28.6%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

28.5%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Real Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 25 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 56.4% – 86.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Oviedo (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Rayo Vallecano (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Rayo Vallecano (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rayo Vallecano will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 1 - 10%). Rayo Vallecano (votes: 9 - 90%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 22. Vidal N. 4. Costas D. 16. Carmo D. 25. Lopez J. 9. Vinas F. 20. Dendoncker L. 11. Colombatto S. 7. Chaira I. 8. Cazorla S. (C) 23. Rondon S.	13. Batalla A. (G) 2. Ratiu A. 24. Lejeune F. 32. Mendy N. 3. Chavarria P. 17. Lopez U. 23. Valentin O. (C) 19. de Frutos J. 7. Palazon I. 18. Garcia A. 10. Camello S.
Substitutes
27. Agudin P. 24. Ahijado L. 3. Alhassane R. 2. Bailly E. 18. Brekalo J. 19. Fores A. 10. Hassan H. 21. Ilic L. 15. Luengo O. 1. Moldovan H. (G) 5. Reina A. 6. Sibo K.	9. Alemao 20. Balliu I. 28. Becerra S. 1. Cardenas D. (G) 6. Ciss P. 15. Gumbau G. 5. Luiz Felipe 40. Molina A. (G) 21. Perez F. 8. Trejo O. 33. Vertrouwd J.
Coaches
Carrion L.	Perez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Mendy N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lopez J. ↓, Alhassane R. ↑,
53', Chaira I. 🟥,
57', Mendy N. ↓, Ciss P. ↑,
61', Rondon S. ↓, Agudin P. ↑,
62', Cazorla S. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
67', Palazon I. (Pen),
70', Camello S. ↓, Alemao ↑,
73', Vidal N. 🟨,
79', Dendoncker L. ↓, Reina A. ↑,
81', Palazon I. 🟨,
85', Palazon I. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
86', Valentin O. ↓, Gumbau G. ↑,
86', Vinas F. ↓, Fores A. ↑,
90+2', Ciss P. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 1.

Oviedo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rayo Vallecano is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rayo Vallecano will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Oviedo: Ejaria O. (Hamstring Injury) Lemos A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Diaz P. (Injury) Mendez D. (Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury) Nteka R. (Injury) Pacha (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Oviedo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
09.11.25	Athletic Bilbao - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Real Oviedo - Osasuna	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Ourense CF - Real Oviedo	4:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
25.10.25	Girona - Real Oviedo	3:3 ✺
17.10.25	Real Oviedo - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLTL
- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
09.11.25	Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Rayo Vallecano - Lech Poznań	3:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.11.25	Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano	4:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Yuncos - Rayo Vallecano	1:6 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.25	Rayo Vallecano - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
20.05.21	Rayo Vallecano - Real Oviedo	4:1
22.10.20	Real Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano	0:0
09.02.20	Rayo Vallecano - Real Oviedo	1:1
01.12.19	Real Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano	2:1
12.01.18	Rayo Vallecano - Real Oviedo	2:2
20.08.17	Real Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano	2:3
19.03.17	Rayo Vallecano - Real Oviedo	2:0

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