Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Real Oviedo B		Sámano

	1	X	2
	1.25	4.95	9
	1.25	5.25	10.37	Watch
	1.25	4.8	11
	1.25	4.75	11.2
	1.23	5.33	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.36)	5.02 ↑ (4.25)	10.51 ↑ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo B
73.2%

Draw
18.2%

Sámano
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

21.4%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

20.2%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Oviedo B's performance.

Sámano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo B than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Real Oviedo B - Sámano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Delgado J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', 2 - 0, Agudin P. ⚽,
65', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Oviedo B is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sámano is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Oviedo B is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oviedo B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Oviedo B	5	2	1	2	8:10	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.01.26	Numancia - Real Oviedo B	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Real Oviedo B - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Salamanca - Real Oviedo B	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Real Oviedo B - Lealtad	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Bergantiños - Real Oviedo B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWTLW
- UD Sámano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.01.26	Sámano - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Bergantiños - Sámano	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Sámano - Langreo	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Atlético Astorga - Sámano	3:0 ✺
29.11.25	Sámano - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.09.25	Sámano - Real Oviedo B	0:2

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