Match Info

Primera B - Round 18

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Real Pilar		UAI Urquiza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.05	4.35	Watch
	1.78	3.1	4.55
	1.92	2.75	4.78	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4.5
	1.79	3.08	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.08)	2.98 ↑ (2.85)	4.57 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Pilar
49.6%

Draw
30.5%

UAI Urquiza
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

32.1%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

31.6%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Pilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Pilar's performance.

UAI Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Real Pilar - UAI Urquiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perafan P. (G) 6. Achucarro D. 10. Blanco S. 3. Cardozo Lacoste F. E. 11. Cesar J. 8. Escurra N. 2. Govi G. 4. Isola G. 7. Mancini V. 9. Riquelme M. D. 5. Rojas M.	1. Viain I. (G) 8. Albano V. 10. Asprea T. 6. Caceres A. 4. Ciancio V. 9. Diaz E. 5. Ibanez E. 3. Monzon S. 11. Polizotto M. 7. Rios N. 2. Yavante Gaitan D.
Substitutes
19. Aguilar R. 16. Basualdo N. 15. Crocco M. 14. Franco E. 17. Garcia P. 18. Martinez F. 20. Puch M. 12. Sanchez S. (G) 13. Vega L.	13. Galli F. 18. Marin A. 19. Mesa F. 17. Pesse V. 14. Prado F. 15. Rocha T. 12. Rolon J. (G) 16. Scacchi S. 20. Scarcella R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Mancini V. ⚽,
40', Rios N. 🟨,
42', Mancini V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Mancini V. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
62', Arcuri L. ↓, Marin A. ↑,
69', Cardozo Lacoste F. E. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
69', Blanco S. ↓, Crocco M. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Asprea T. ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, Crocco M. ⚽,
81', Albano V. ↓, Mesa F. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 19).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Real Pilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real Pilar is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Real Pilar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Real Pilar	38	17	10	11	42:38	4	61
21	UAI Urquiza	38	5	20	13	21:35	-14	35

Last Results with these Odds

Real Pilar - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.05%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera B
26.05.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Real Pilar	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Villa Dálmine - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Real Pilar - Excursionistas	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Real Pilar	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Real Pilar - Argentino de Merlo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLLT
- UAI Urquiza
Argentinian Primera B
26.05.26	Comunicaciones - UAI Urquiza	3:0 ✺
22.05.26	Ituzaingó - UAI Urquiza	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	UAI Urquiza - Villa Dálmine	0:0 ✺
08.05.26	Excursionistas - UAI Urquiza	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	UAI Urquiza - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
08.09.25	UAI Urquiza - Real Pilar	0:1
20.04.25	Real Pilar - UAI Urquiza	2:2

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