Match Info

Primera B - Round 17

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini (Buenos Aires)


	Villa Dálmine		Real Pilar

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.78	4.15	Watch
	2.05	2.81	4.33
	2.05	2.7	4.26	Watch
	2.05	2.63	4
	1.97	2.9	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.29)	2.76 ↑ (2.7)	4.28 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Dálmine
45.5%

Draw
33.1%

Real Pilar
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

33.9%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

32.4%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Dálmine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa Dálmine's performance.

Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Villa Dálmine - Real Pilar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rojas J. (G) 6. Amicone A. 9. Brandan L. 2. Broggi C. 4. Gamba L. 8. Garzino F. 3. Martinez D. 7. Oro P. 10. Prim S. 11. Resquin G. 5. Solis M.	1. Perafan P. (G) 6. Achucarro D. 8. Basualdo N. 5. Escurra N. 3. Franco E. 10. Garcia P. 2. Govi G. 4. Leguiza D. 7. Mancini V. 11. Pansardi F. 9. Riquelme M. D. (C)
Substitutes
14. Britos M. 16. Carlucci V. 12. Guerrero A. (G) 13. Karnincic B. 18. Morales M. 15. Nizzo M. 17. Ramon E. 20. Schultz E. 19. Torres G.	18. Aguilar R. 16. Avalos N. 20. Blanco S. 14. Cardozo Lacoste F. E. 17. Cesar J. 19. Martinez F. 15. Rojas M. 12. Sanchez S. (G) 13. Vega L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Mancini V. ⚽,
34', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Leguiza D. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
61', Garcia P. ↓, Blanco S. ↑,
64', Oro P. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
64', Garzino F. ↓, Carlucci V. ↑,
64', Basualdo N. 🟨,
70', Mancini V. 🟨,
74', Riquelme M. D. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
74', Prim S. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
74', Resquin G. ↓, Ramon E. ↑,
78', Pansardi F. ↓, Vega L. ↑,
78', Mancini V. ↓, Cardozo Lacoste F. E. ↑,
84', Gamba L. ↓, Schultz E. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Morales M. ⚽,
90', Franco E. 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Villa Dálmine is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Real Pilar has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Villa Dálmine might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Villa Dálmine won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Villa Dálmine won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Villa Dalmine	38	17	13	8	38:23	15	64
7	Real Pilar	38	17	10	11	42:38	4	61

Last Results with these Odds

Villa Dálmine - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 39.99%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Real Pilar - the odds 3.51 are the expected chance of winning is 26.09%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera B
16.05.26	UAI Urquiza - Villa Dálmine	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Ituzaingó - Villa Dálmine	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Villa Dálmine - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Villa Dálmine - Argentino de Merlo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWWTW
- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera B
16.05.26	Real Pilar - Excursionistas	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Real Pilar	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Real Pilar - Argentino de Merlo	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Real Pilar	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Real Pilar - Deportivo Laferrere	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
13.07.25	Villa Dálmine - Real Pilar	1:1
22.02.25	Real Pilar - Villa Dálmine	0:0

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