The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Salt Lake 43.8%
Draw 25.3%
New England Revolution 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
25.1%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.2%
26.4%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
New England Revolution has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36.4%
9.1%
54.5%
Real Salt Lake - New England Revolution Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Salt Lake will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). New England will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for New England: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Cabral (C) 2. Yedlin D. 26. Quinton P. 3. Henry K. 11. Marczuk D. 6. Spierings S. 92. Caliskan N. 29. Junqua S. 39. Hezarkhani A. 22. Solans S. 9. Guilavogui M.
30. Turner M. (G) 8. Polster M. 2. Fofana M. 66. Wynder J. 23. Sands W. 22. Kohler E. 14. Yueill J. 41. Langoni L. 10. Gil C. (C) 16. Gazdag D. 27. Harris W.
Substitutes
18. Booth T. 14. Eneli E. 25. Guske C. 24. Kerkvliet M. (G) 70. Lineker Rodrigues 76. O'Gara L. 88. Ream L. 13. Shokalook J. 31. Stajduhar M. (G)
15. Baker C. 4. Beason T. 77. Fagundez D. 57. Mussenden J. 33. Parisian D. (G) 6. Smith T. 67. Wells M. 7. Yow G. 17. Zambrano M.
Coaches
Mastroeni P.
Mitrovic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Hezarkhani A. ⚽,
45+2', Gil C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Guilavogui M. 🟨,
58', Harris W. ↓, Yow G. ↑,
58', Langoni L. ↓, Baker C. ↑,
61', Wynder J. 🟨,
62', 2 - 0, Solans S. ⚽,
68', Wynder J. ↓, Mussenden J. ↑,
75', Rafael Cabral 🟨,
75', Hezarkhani A. ↓, Guske C. ↑,
80', 3 - 0, Solans S. ⚽, Guilavogui M. (A),
86', Gil C. ↓, Fagundez D. ↑,
86', Polster M. ↓, Zambrano M. ↑,
86', Solans S. ↓, Lineker Rodrigues ↑,
89', Guilavogui M. ↓, Shokalook J. ↑,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 13th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ MLS Playoffs1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salt Lake won 3.
Salt Lake has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
New England shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Salt Lake may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, New England has had a run of games away from home.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Salt Lake: Arias J. J.
(Hamstring Injury)
De Fougerolles L.
(International duty)
Dillon G.
(Foot Injury)
Glad J.
(Groin Injury)
Luna D.
(Knee Injury)
Piol A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sanabria J.
(International duty).
Confirmed absences for New England: Feingold I.
(International duty)
Harrison J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Miller P.
(International duty)
Raines B.
(International duty)
Turgeman D.
(International duty)
Yusuf A.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Salt Lake: Booth Z.
(Hamstring Injury)
Engel L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Katranis A.
(Groin Injury)
Zagar D.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for New England: Campana L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Langoni L.
(Thigh Injury).
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Salt Lake has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:16 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Salt Lake against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:2 goals (averaging 1.3:0.3 per game).
Outrights of MLS for now
New England Revolution: 4.03% Real Salt Lake: 0.62%
Last Results with these Odds
Real Salt Lake - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.9%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.