Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 8 July 2023, Saturday

Location: America First Field (Sandy)

Referee: Allatin M. (Usa)


	Real Salt Lake		Orlando City

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.8	3.8	Watch
	1.87	3.7	3.75
	1.85	3.75	3.85
	1.94	3.83	3.96
	1.75	3.5	3.6	Watch
	1.89	3.8	3.78	Watch
	1.87	3.75	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.2)	3.73 ↑ (3.36)	3.81 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Salt Lake
50.3%

Draw
25.1%

Orlando City
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

27.6%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

26.6%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Salt Lake's performance.

Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orlando City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Salt Lake that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	11.1%	16.7%

Real Salt Lake - Orlando City Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Salt Lake will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Orlando City will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salt Lake: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. MacMath Z. (G) 25. Eneli E. 15. Glad J. 4. Vera B. 2. Brody A. 10. Savarino J. 6. Ojeda B. 7. Ruiz P. 26. Luna D. 9. Arango C. 8. Kreilach D.	1. Gallese P. (G) 24. Smith K. 25. Carlos Antonio 6. Jansson R. 3. Rafael Santos 5. Araujo C. 16. Cartagena W. 17. Torres F. 10. Pereyra M. 77. Angulo I. 13. McGuire D.
Substitutes
35. Beavers G. (G) 12. Caldwell S. 11. Gomez C. A. 19. Hidalgo B. 29. Julio Santos A. A. 28. Loffelsend J. 17. Musovski D. 3. Oviedo B. 30. Silva M.	7. Enrique R. 8. Felipe Martins 9. Kara E. 14. Mohammed S. 11. Ojeda M. 20. Petrasso L. 15. Schlegel R. 31. Stajduhar M. (G) 23. Thorhallsson D. D.
Coaches
Mastroeni P.	Pareja O.

Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salt Lake won 1.

Salt Lake is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Orlando City is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Salt Lake could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Salt Lake will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Salt Lake: Farnsworth Z. (Muscle Injury) Holt E. (Shoulder Injury) Kei A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Orlando City: Gonzalez G. (Injury) Grinwis A. (Injury) Salim A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Orlando City: Halliday M. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Salt Lake won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Salt Lake won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Salt Lake
MLS
01.07.23	Toronto FC - Real Salt Lake	0:1 ✺
24.06.23	Real Salt Lake - Minnesota United	2:2 ✺
21.06.23	St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake	1:3 ✺
17.06.23	DC United - Real Salt Lake	1:2 ✺
10.06.23	Real Salt Lake - New York City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WTWWT
- Orlando City
MLS
04.07.23	Orlando City - Toronto FC	4:0 ✺
01.07.23	Orlando City - Chicago Fire	3:1 ✺
24.06.23	Seattle Sounders - Orlando City	0:0 ✺
21.06.23	Orlando City - Philadelphia Union	2:2 ✺
17.06.23	New England Revolution - Orlando City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
29.02.20	Orlando City - Real Salt Lake	0:0
13.04.19	Real Salt Lake - Orlando City	2:1
06.05.18	Orlando City - Real Salt Lake	3:1
30.06.17	Real Salt Lake - Orlando City	0:1
06.03.16	Orlando City - Real Salt Lake	2:2
04.07.15	Real Salt Lake - Orlando City	1:1

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