Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 24 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Lumen Field (Seattle)

Referee: Lauziere P. (Can)


	Seattle Sounders		Orlando City

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.8	Watch
	1.93	3.4	3.8
	1.89	3.5	4
	1.98	3.56	4.1
	1.83	3.4	3.5
	1.91	3.55	3.96	Watch
	1.93	3.5	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.03)	3.5 ↑ (3.46)	3.87 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seattle Sounders
49%

Draw
26.8%

Orlando City
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

26.6%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

26.2%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	16.7%	11.1%

Seattle Sounders - Orlando City Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Orlando City will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Frei S. (G) 33. Baker C. 28. Gomez Andrade Y. 25. Ragen J. 5. Nouhou 6. Joao Paulo 73. Vargas O. 10. Lodeiro N. (C) 11. Rusnak A. 23. Chu L. 19. Heber	1. Gallese P. (G) 26. Halliday M. 25. Carlos Antonio 6. Jansson R. (C) 3. Rafael Santos 5. Araujo C. 16. Cartagena W. 11. Ojeda M. 17. Torres F. 77. Angulo I. 13. McGuire D.
Substitutes
84. Atencio J. 21. Baker-Whiting R. 92. Cissoko A. 30. Cleveland S. (G) 12. Montero F. 22. Rowe K. 99. Teves D.	7. Enrique R. 8. Felipe Martins 9. Kara E. 10. Pereyra M. 20. Petrasso L. 15. Schlegel R. 24. Smith K. 31. Stajduhar M. (G) 23. Thorhallsson D. D.
Coaches
Schmetzer B.	Pareja O.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Seattle has the most likely position - 2 (19.1%), project points - 51, currently - 28, a good chance of playoffs (93%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (5%).

Orlando City has the most likely position - 5 (12.25%), project points - 51, currently - 26, a good chance of playoffs (83%), a very small chance of supporters shield (2%), a very small chance of win league (4%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Seattle won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Orlando City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Seattle is a favorite.

There will not play in Seattle: Kitahara S. (Injury) Morris J. (Injury) Roldan A. (Injury) Roldan C. (Injury)

There will not play in Orlando City: Grinwis A. (Injury) Salim A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Seattle: Arreaga X. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Seattle won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Seattle won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seattle Sounders FC
MLS
21.06.23	Los Angeles - Seattle Sounders	1:0 ✺
10.06.23	Charlotte - Seattle Sounders	3:3 ✺
03.06.23	Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers	0:0 ✺
31.05.23	Seattle Sounders - San Jose Earthquakes	0:1 ✺
27.05.23	Seattle Sounders - New York Red Bulls	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTTLW
- Orlando City
MLS
21.06.23	Orlando City - Philadelphia Union	2:2 ✺
17.06.23	New England Revolution - Orlando City	3:1 ✺
10.06.23	Orlando City - Colorado Rapids	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	New York Red Bulls - Orlando City	0:3 ✺
27.05.23	Orlando City - Atlanta United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
31.08.22	Orlando City - Seattle Sounders	3:2
15.05.19	Seattle Sounders - Orlando City	2:1
17.10.18	Orlando City - Seattle Sounders	1:2
21.06.17	Seattle Sounders - Orlando City	1:1
07.08.16	Orlando City - Seattle Sounders	1:3
16.08.15	Seattle Sounders - Orlando City	4:0

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