Match Info

CHILE: Segunda Division - Round 21

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday


	Real San Joaquín		Arturo Fernández Vial

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.2
	2.05	3.25	3.3
	2	3.37	3.31
	2.06	3.42	3.23	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.4
	2.03	3.18	3.46	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.77)	3.25 (3.25)	3.31 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real San Joaquín
44.8%

Draw
27.8%

Arturo Fernández Vial
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

27.7%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

27.1%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real San Joaquín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real San Joaquín's form might have worsened.

Arturo Fernández Vial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arturo Fernández Vial's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real San Joaquín than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real San Joaquín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arturo Fernández Vial than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arturo Fernández Vial, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real San Joaquín - Arturo Fernández Vial Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Gonzalez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, Diaz N. ⚽,
55', Salvia D. 🟥,
70', 2 - 1, Gillard A. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real San Joaquín
Chilean Segunda Division
24.08.24	Deportes Melipilla - Real San Joaquín	0:0 ✺
18.08.24	Deportes Concepción - Real San Joaquín	5:2 ✺
11.08.24	Real San Joaquín - Concón National	1:1 ✺
04.08.24	Lautaro de Buin - Real San Joaquín	2:1 ✺
28.07.24	Real San Joaquín - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLTLT
- CD Arturo Fernández Vial
Chilean Segunda Division
25.08.24	Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Concepción	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Melipilla	0:2 ✺
12.08.24	Trasandino de Los Andes - Arturo Fernández Vial	1:0 ✺
04.08.24	Arturo Fernández Vial - Provincial Osorno	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	Provincial Ovalle - Arturo Fernández Vial	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
19.04.24	Arturo Fernández Vial - Real San Joaquín	0:0
05.08.23	Arturo Fernández Vial - Real San Joaquín	0:0
25.03.23	Real San Joaquín - Arturo Fernández Vial	0:0

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