Match Info

BOLIVIA: Division Profesional - Clausura - Round 27

Date: 11 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Real Santa Cruz (Santa Cruz)

Referee: Revollo J. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App


	Real Santa Cruz		Blooming

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.8	1.75	Watch
	4	3.6	1.68
	4.2	3.75	1.74	Watch
	3.8	4.13	1.81
	3.98	3.97	1.78	Watch
	4.4	3.4	1.73
	4.21	3.81	1.76	Watch
	4.2	3.75	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (4.12)	3.78 ↓ (3.96)	1.75 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Santa Cruz
22.5%

Draw
24.5%

Blooming
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

23.2%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

22%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Blooming has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blooming than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	2.7%	97.3%

Real Santa Cruz - Blooming Predictions

Users Predictions: Blooming will win (36 of 37 users predict this - 97.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 92.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zamora D. (G) 14. Ibanez J. 2. Ruano L. 30. Suarez R. 4. Lopez B. 31. Cardenas I. 23. Pozo S. 37. Mendoza G. 29. Abastoflor C. 44. Gonzalez E. 7. Moreno B.	1. Uraezana B. (G) 26. Romero C. 22. Gomez Miranda R. 43. Lacerda J. 4. Duran D. 45. Figuera A. 33. Becerra M. 7. Garzon S. 8. Villarroel M. 16. Arismendi F. 11. Menacho C.
Substitutes
26. Barrios M. 77. Castillo J. 36. Ledezma O. (G) 39. Malgor G. 80. Melgar R. 18. Mercado A. 22. Montero E. 6. Ovando M. 19. Ribera O. 21. Saldias L. 20. Vaca Hurtado E. 9. Veizaga J.	31. Aponte D. 17. Arce J. 24. Becerra M. A. 47. Castedo Ribera S. 25. Cuellar Orti R. 36. Eguez R. 19. Gutierrez L. 12. Jimenez C. (G) 27. Siles O. 6. Spenhay R. 3. Valverde J. 2. Visalla G.
Coaches
Ibanez A.	Pena A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Arismendi F. 🟨,
20', Ruano L. 🟨,
36', Gomez Miranda R. 🟨,
42', Becerra M. ↓, Castedo Ribera S. ↑,
42', Arismendi F. ↓, Cuellar Orti R. ↑,
45+1', Figuera A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 1, Menacho C. (Pen),
65', Cardenas I. ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
65', Menacho C. ↓, Siles O. ↑,
65', Villarroel M. ↓, Arce J. ↑,
75', Ibanez J. ↓, Veizaga J. ↑,
75', Abastoflor C. 🟨,
81', Zamora D. 🟨,
83', Moreno B. ↓, Saldias L. ↑,
83', Pozo S. ↓, Vaca Hurtado E. ↑,
90+1', Mercado A. 🟨,
90+3', Garzon S. ↓, Eguez R. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Santa Cruz won 2.

Real Santa Cruz is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Blooming is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Blooming could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Blooming will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Real Santa Cruz won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:16 (average 1.4:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Santa Cruz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Santa Cruz
Bolivian Division Profesional
07.12.24	Real Santa Cruz - Guabirá	0:1 ✺
04.12.24	The Strongest - Real Santa Cruz	4:0 ✺
30.11.24	Aurora - Real Santa Cruz	7:1 ✺
28.11.24	Real Santa Cruz - Independiente Petroleros	0:2 ✺
25.11.24	Oriente Petrolero - Real Santa Cruz	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LLLLW
- Blooming Santa Cruz
Bolivian Division Profesional
08.12.24	Blooming - Oriente Petrolero	0:0 ✺
03.12.24	Blooming - Aurora	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Nacional Potosí - Blooming	4:2 ✺
26.11.24	Blooming - Universitario de Vinto	1:0 ✺
20.11.24	Independiente Petroleros - Blooming	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
17.08.24	Blooming - Real Santa Cruz	3:1
24.08.23	Blooming - Real Santa Cruz	1:3
08.04.23	Real Santa Cruz - Blooming	2:1
10.09.22	Real Santa Cruz - Blooming	1:3
06.07.22	Blooming - Real Santa Cruz	5:1
17.10.21	Blooming - Real Santa Cruz	3:1
07.05.21	Real Santa Cruz - Blooming	1:0

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