Match Info

BOLIVIA: Division Profesional - Clausura - Round 22

Date: 25 November 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas (Santa Cruz)


	Oriente Petrolero		Real Santa Cruz

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.1	7.5	Watch
	1.43	4.1	6
	1.44	4.2	6.6	Watch
	1.45	4.24	6.57
	1.48	4.17	6.65	Watch
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.45	4.2	6.45	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.29)	4.18 ↓ (5.37)	6.61 ↓ (8.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriente Petrolero
64%

Draw
22.1%

Real Santa Cruz
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

17.3%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriente Petrolero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oriente Petrolero's form might have worsened.

Real Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Oriente Petrolero - Real Santa Cruz Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Oriente Petrolero will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Real Santa Cruz will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oriente Petrolero: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torrez Suarez A. W. (G) 36. Diez R. 27. Alvarez S. 47. Ramirez S. 4. Rodriguez D. 20. Garcia J. 15. Gonzales Mejia F. 19. Sanchez E. 33. Barreto D. 43. Villarroel M. 91. Alvarez G.	1. Zamora D. (G) 23. Pozo S. 2. Ruano L. 30. Suarez R. 41. Navarro S. 6. Ovando M. 10. Caicedo J. 26. Barrios M. 80. Melgar R. 29. Abastoflor C. 44. Gonzalez E.
Substitutes
32. Alba J. 7. Arabe C. 13. Bernal J. (G) 44. Camacho J. 10. Dorrego H. 11. Flores J. 26. Melgar S. 14. Nacif Joffre R. 25. Nino De Guzman Montero A. J. 9. Riquelme M. D. 2. Rodriguez E. 34. Vargas F.	31. Cardenas I. 5. Coplot L. 14. Ibanez J. 17. Lara J. 4. Lopez B. 37. Mendoza G. 7. Moreno B. 35. Pena R. 45. Rios J. (G) 21. Saldias L. 20. Vaca Hurtado E. 9. Veizaga J.
Coaches
Monasteiro J.	Straccia M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Barrios M. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Abastoflor C. ⚽, Navarro S. (A),
27', Pozo S. 🟨,
30', Ruano L. 🟨,
30', Alvarez G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Villarroel M. ↓, Dorrego H. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Dorrego H. (Pen),
55', Navarro S. 🟥,
59', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
59', Barreto D. 🟨,
64', Melgar R. ↓, Lara J. ↑,
76', Pozo S. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
77', Alvarez S. ↓, Vargas F. ↑,
77', Garcia J. ↓, Riquelme M. D. ↑,
80', Vargas F. 🟨,
85', 1 - 2, Lopez B. ⚽, Caicedo J. (A),
86', Barreto D. ↓, Arabe C. ↑,
89', Zamora D. 🟨,
90+5', Alvarez G. ↓, Melgar S. ↑,
90+7', Gonzalez E. ↓, Moreno B. ↑,
90+7', Barrios M. ↓, Coplot L. ↑,
90+11', 1 - 3, Moreno B. ⚽, Caicedo J. (A),

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oriente Petrolero won 3.

Recent matches Oriente Petrolero is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Santa Cruz is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oriente Petrolero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Oriente Petrolero is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Oriente Petrolero won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:8 (average 1.6:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Oriente Petrolero won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriente Petrolero
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.11.24	Oriente Petrolero - Independiente Petroleros	1:1 ✺
20.11.24	Universitario de Vinto - Oriente Petrolero	4:1 ✺
31.10.24	Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero	2:0 ✺
28.10.24	Oriente Petrolero - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	0:2 ✺
24.09.24	Oriente Petrolero - Aurora	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TLLLW
- Real Santa Cruz
Bolivian Division Profesional
29.10.24	Real Santa Cruz - Universitario de Vinto	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Royal Pari - Real Santa Cruz	0:2 ✺
23.10.24	Real Santa Cruz - Bolívar	2:3 ✺
19.10.24	GVCD San José - Real Santa Cruz	4:0 ✺
01.10.24	Real Santa Cruz - Nacional Potosí	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
27.07.24	Real Santa Cruz - Oriente Petrolero	0:1
19.08.23	Real Santa Cruz - Oriente Petrolero	0:5
10.05.23	Oriente Petrolero - Real Santa Cruz	0:1
05.10.22	Oriente Petrolero - Real Santa Cruz	3:1
23.07.22	Real Santa Cruz - Oriente Petrolero	2:1
14.05.22	Oriente Petrolero - Real Santa Cruz	1:2
02.04.22	Real Santa Cruz - Oriente Petrolero	2:1

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