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Current Win Probability
Aurora 73.4%
Draw 17.2%
Real Santa Cruz 9.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
72.1%
18.8%
9.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Real Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Aurora - Real Santa Cruz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Akologo D. (G) 24. Robles D. 33. Enciso C. 2. Cabral M. 19. Montano G. 9. Simisterra R. 20. Sanchez A. 6. Sejas C. 10. Torrico J. 18. Reinoso J. 77. Serginho
1. Zamora D. (G) 26. Barrios M. 2. Ruano L. 4. Lopez B. 37. Mendoza G. 10. Caicedo J. 6. Ovando M. 23. Pozo S. 29. Abastoflor C. 5. Coplot L. 7. Moreno B.
Substitutes
14. Aranibar B. 21. Ballivian R. 7. Blanco O. 11. Bustamante A. 12. Cardenas L. (G) 22. Guttierrez J. 16. Martinez Y. 31. Michelli E. 8. Torrico D. 28. Vaca O.
14. Ibanez J. 36. Ledezma O. (G) 80. Melgar R. 18. Mercado A. 15. Rueda Bascope S. 21. Saldias L. 20. Vaca Hurtado E. 9. Veizaga J. 24. Wichekar J.
Coaches
Orteman S.
Straccia M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (5 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Montano G. ⚽, Serginho (A),
11', 2 - 0, Reinoso J. ⚽, Sejas C. (A),
21', Caicedo J. 🟨,
38', 3 - 0, Enciso C. ⚽,
42', Coplot L. ↓, Ibanez J. ↑,
42', 4 - 0, Simisterra R. ⚽,
45+4', Zamora D. 🟨,
45+6', 5 - 0, Robles D. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Abastoflor C. ↓, Melgar R. ↑,
46', Barrios M. ↓, Wichekar J. ↑,
55', Montano G. ↓, Martinez Y. ↑,
55', Robles D. ↓, Michelli E. ↑,
55', Simisterra R. ↓, Torrico D. ↑,
63', Ibanez J. 🟨,
66', Torrico J. ↓, Bustamante A. ↑,
67', 6 - 0, Serginho ⚽,
69', Ovando M. ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
73', 7 - 0, Bustamante A. ⚽,
74', 7 - 1, Moreno B. ⚽,
77', Reinoso J. ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
82', Caicedo J. ↓, Vaca Hurtado E. ↑,
83', Ruano L. 🟨,
85', Martinez Y. 🟨,
90+1', Enciso C. 🟨,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 and 16).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Aurora won 2.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Aurora could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Aurora is indisputable favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Aurora won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:16 (average 1.6:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Aurora won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:9 (average 2:1.8).