The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Santander 22.3%
Draw 26.4%
La Equidad 51.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.1%
24.9%
54%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.7%
23.1%
50.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Equidad than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Patino N. (G) 21. Becerra S. 15. Beltran D. 4. Castillo L. (C) 7. Cordoba M. 6. Cuellar M. 14. Diaz H. 10. Garcia S. 5. Gomez A. 24. Millan Y. 11. Nino B.
12. Murillo K. (G) 28. Arbelaez C. (C) 21. Cabrera W. 13. Casamachin L. 29. Espinosa S. 4. Fonseca J. 19. Fuentes M. 6. Garzon K. 30. Munoz J. 14. Pastrana N. 20. Valbuena P.
Substitutes
18. Cano D. 16. Castro P. 26. Martinez M. 20. Mendivelso N. 27. Montes M. 1. Saavedra M. (G) 19. Suarez K.
18. Carrillo D. 1. Gonzalez V. (G) 2. Lambrano D. 8. Navarro L. 17. Suta A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Cordoba M. (Own goal),
41', Millan Y. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Beltran D. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Millan Y. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
46', Cuellar M. ↓, Cano D. ↑,
55', Castillo L. 🟨,
60', Garzon K. ↓, Suta A. ↑,
61', Becerra S. ↓, Mendivelso N. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Valbuena P. ⚽,
70', Beltran D. ↓, Castro P. ↑,
81', Arbelaez C. ↓, Carrillo D. ↑,
84', Diaz H. ↓, Suarez K. ↑,
90', 1 - 3, Cabrera W. ⚽,
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 12).
Real Santander has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches La Equidad is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Real Santander could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match La Equidad is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Real Santander won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.