Match Info

Date: 28 October 2020, Wednesday


	Real Sociedad		Motagua

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.4	1.6
	4.8	3.35	1.55
	5.2	3.5	1.53
	5.19	3.5	1.54
	5.25	3.5	1.6
	5.2	3.84	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.15 ↑ (4.5)	3.52 ↓ (3.64)	1.57 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
17.4%

Draw
25.5%

Motagua
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

25.4%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

15.5%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Sociedad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-24%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Motagua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Sociedad - Motagua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Real Sociedad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Motagua have a series of home games.

In this match Motagua is a favorite.

Last 26 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 36-42.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
25.10.20	Real Sociedad - Huesca	4:1 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
24.10.20	Lobos UPNFM - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Rijeka - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
18.10.20	Real Sociedad - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
18.10.20	Betis - Real Sociedad	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTWLW
- CD Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
25.10.20	Motagua - CD Marathón	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF League
22.10.20	Motagua - Comunicaciones	3:2 penalties ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
18.10.20	Real de Minas - Motagua	0:3 ✺
15.10.20	Motagua - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:0 ✺
11.10.20	Motagua - Real Sociedad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
11.10.20	Motagua - Real Sociedad	2:1
19.01.20	Motagua - Real Sociedad	2:0
10.11.19	Real Sociedad - Motagua	0:0
11.08.19	Motagua - Real Sociedad	2:1
04.03.18	Real Sociedad - Motagua	2:2
24.01.18	Motagua - Real Sociedad	2:0
01.10.17	Real Sociedad - Motagua	0:2

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