Match Info

EUROPE: Premier League International Cup

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday


	Blackburn Rovers U21		Athletic Bilbao B

	1	X	2
	2.06	4.13	2.8
	2.09	4.07	2.76	Watch
	1.55	4.2	4.4
	2.15	4	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (4.1)	4.1 ↑ (3.91)	3.2 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackburn Rovers U21
47.8%

Draw
22.9%

Athletic Bilbao B
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

23.4%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

21.6%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackburn Rovers U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blackburn Rovers U21's performance.

Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletic Bilbao B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackburn Rovers U21 than the current prediction. (-23.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blackburn Rovers U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+20.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletic Bilbao B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	5.3%	26.3%

Blackburn Rovers U21 - Athletic Bilbao B Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Blackburn U21 will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Athletic Bilbao B will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blackburn U21: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Hierro A. ⚽, García B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
78', 1 - 1, Wood H. ⚽, Stritch Z. (A),
90+1', 1 - 2, Monreal I. ⚽, Belategi D. (A),

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League International Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Athletic Bilbao B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Athletic Bilbao B is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackburn Rovers U21
English Premier League 2
27.01.25	Derby County U21 - Blackburn Rovers U21	0:0 ✺
English National League Cup
21.01.25	Forest Green Rovers - Blackburn Rovers U21	4:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
17.01.25	Blackburn Rovers U21 - Middlesbrough U21	3:2 ✺
English Premier League Cup
07.01.25	Preston North End U21 - Blackburn Rovers U21	1:1 ✺
19.12.24	Queens Park Rangers U21 - Blackburn Rovers U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLWTL
- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.02.25	Zamora - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2 ✺
25.01.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Sestao	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	FC Andorra - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
14.01.25	Middlesbrough U21 - Athletic Bilbao B	0:4 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.01.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Barakaldo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWWWL

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