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Current Win Probability
Athletic Bilbao B 48.6%
Draw 30.1%
Arenteiro 21.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.2%
28.7%
19.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.5%
22.8%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Bilbao B that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Athletic Bilbao B - Arenteiro Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic Bilbao B (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Arenteiro (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic Bilbao B (votes: 1 - 50%). Arenteiro (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Santos M. (G) 12. Barandalla M. 28. Monreal I. 4. Dunabeitia A. 15. Alday I. 11. Bujan E. 10. Sanchez I. 8. Lete E. 18. Garcia E. 31. Conde A. 9. Sanz I.
13. Garcia D. (G) 22. Sanchez J. 5. Perez G. 3. Lohr L. 21. Llacer L. 17. Aguza S. 25. Bastida A. 10. De Camargo W. 16. Guerrero J. 7. Ferreiro D. 18. Mingo V.
Substitutes
3. De Luis J. 5. Ebro Cortina E. 1. Gamen E. (G) 6. Gibelalde M. 23. Gift E. 7. Hierro A. 2. Irurita X. 14. Izagirre Cestona A. 20. Vizcay T.
19. Alpha M. 1. Alvin (G) 11. Cuellar J. 4. Falcon E. 44. Gimenez F. 8. Gonzalez D. 30. Iglesias F. 15. Moreno D. 12. Ochoa M. 23. Romera D. 6. Val B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Conde A. ⚽,
26', Guerrero J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Garcia E. 🟨,
62', De Camargo W. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
62', Guerrero J. ↓, Cuellar J. ↑,
65', Sanz I. ↓, Hierro A. ↑,
65', Conde A. ↓, Gift E. ↑,
67', Cuellar J. 🟨,
71', 2 - 0, Sanchez I. ⚽,
73', Perez G. ↓, Ochoa M. ↑,
73', Aguza S. ↓, Val B. ↑,
80', Llacer L. ↓, Falcon E. ↑,
84', Lete E. ↓, Gibelalde M. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Ochoa M. ⚽,
90+4', Gift E. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Athletic Bilbao B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Athletic Bilbao B is seen as the favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Athletic Bilbao B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Athletic Bilbao B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Spain
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Santos M. (G) 
Cuellar J. 
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