Match Info

Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Zubieta Real Sociedad (San Sebastian)


	Real Sociedad B		Gimnástic de Tarragona

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.3
	3	3.15	2.42
				Watch
	2.88	3.4	2.2
	2.88	3.2	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.65)	3.24 ↑ (3.09)	2.32 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad B
32.1%

Draw
28.4%

Gimnástic de Tarragona
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

30%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

29.9%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Real Sociedad B - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Gimnàstic (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnàstic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Arana E. (G) 22. Ruperez I. 15. Rodriguez P. 24. Beitia L. 3. Balda J. 10. Goti Lopez M. 28. Carbonell T. 8. Rodriguez M. 18. Garcia E. 40. Astiazaran L. 20. Mariezkurrena A.	13. Rebollo D. (G) 20. Miguel 4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 14. Sanz O. 21. Oriol J. 6. Gorostidi A. 8. Montalvo M. 10. Jardi J. 23. Concha D. 9. Antonin 17. Fernandez P.
Substitutes
23. Agote U. 5. Astigarraga E. 35. Carrera G. 16. Gibelalde M. 44. Gorosabel G. 6. Lebarbier A. 19. Marchal A. 21. Merino J. 9. Orobengoa E. 29. Osazuwa S. 17. Ramirez D. 32. Zango A. (G)	5. Dufur U. 11. Fernandez M. 38. Gutierrez A. 18. Jimenez A. 7. Junca D. 15. Leal A. 22. Narro V. 26. Salva J. (G) 19. Torres R. 1. Varo A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Garcia E. 🟨,
19', Ruperez I. 🟨,
33', Oriol J. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Jardi J. ⚽,
41', Gorostidi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Mariezkurrena A. 🟨,
61', Garcia E. ↓, Orobengoa E. ↑,
64', Antonin ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
64', Concha D. ↓, Narro V. ↑,
75', Domingo Ciuraneta P. 🟨,
75', Carrera G. 🟨,
78', 0 - 2, Oriol J. (Pen),
83', Miguel 🟨,
88', Fernandez P. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↓, Leal A. ↑,
98', Goti Lopez M. ↓, Agote U. ↑,
107', 1 - 2, Gibelalde M. (Pen),
112', Leal A. 🟨,
113', Rodriguez M. ↓, Lebarbier A. ↑,
117', 🟨,
117', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad B won 1.

Real Sociedad B is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gimnàstic has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Real Sociedad B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad B won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Gimnástic de Tarragona - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.99%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.06.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Sociedad B	1:3 ✺
08.06.25	Real Sociedad B - Mérida AD	0:1 ET ✺
01.06.25	Mérida AD - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	Real Sociedad B - Celta de Vigo B	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Arenteiro - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLWWT
- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.06.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Sociedad B	1:3 ✺
07.06.25	Real Murcia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Arenteiro	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.06.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Sociedad B	1:3
18.01.25	Real Sociedad B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1
29.09.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Sociedad B	2:1
04.02.24	Real Sociedad B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:2
22.10.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Sociedad B	2:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.03.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Sociedad B	2:0
15.10.22	Real Sociedad B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0

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