Match Info

HONDURAS: Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Real Sociedad Tocoa		Vida

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	3.8
	1.75	3.3	4.5	Watch
	1.74	3.74	3.96
	1.75	3.74	3.96
	1.8	3.4	4.33
	1.86	3.45	3.96
	1.8	3.45	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.9)	3.48 ↑ (3.28)	4.07 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad Tocoa
51.2%

Draw
26.3%

Vida
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

27.7%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

26.5%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad Tocoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Vida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad Tocoa than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vida than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez R. (G) 61. Guiti Marin K. J. 34. Ramos J. 4. Soto M. 31. Bernardez K. 15. Hernandez Alvarez A. S. 23. Delgado E. 14. Cardona J. 47. Arzu M. 9. Vega M. 11. Martinez R. (C)	30. Bengoche A. (G) 27. Chimilio L. 35. Suazo D. 6. Sander R. 13. Manaiza C. 5. Zuniga A. 32. Bernardez M. (C) 10. Canales M. 7. Garcia M. 9. Tellas G. 11. Villafranca J.
Substitutes
3. Alvarez M. 18. Bernardez C. 22. Bernardez R. 17. Gonzalez S. 20. Gotay P. 19. Marin N. 30. Matute K. 13. Ortiz L. 7. Reyes D. 12. Torres A. 63. Turner B. 29. Zapata A. (G)	29. Barahona K. 20. Centeno J. 14. Espinoza S. 31. Martinez J. 1. Quinteros M. (G) 62. Ruiz J. 15. Villalta Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Villafranca J. ⚽,
34', Sander R. ↓, Barahona K. ↑,
38', Cardona J. ↓, Reyes D. ↑,
43', 1 - 1, Soto M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 2 - 1, Vega M. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad Tocoa won 2.

Real Sociedad Tocoa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vida is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Sociedad Tocoa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad Tocoa won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad Tocoa won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad Tocoa
Honduras Liga Nacional
13.04.24	Real Sociedad Tocoa - CD Marathón	1:2 ✺
08.04.24	Génesis PN - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:0 ✺
04.04.24	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:2 ✺
31.03.24	Lobos UPNFM - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:0 ✺
13.03.24	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Olancho	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CDS Vida
Honduras Liga Nacional
14.04.24	Vida - Génesis PN	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Victoria La Ceiba - Vida	2:1 ✺
04.04.24	Vida - CD Marathón	2:3 ✺
31.03.24	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Vida	5:1 ✺
14.03.24	Vida - Lobos UPNFM	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
25.02.24	Vida - Real Sociedad Tocoa	3:4
25.11.23	Vida - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:1
21.09.23	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Vida	0:0
02.04.23	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Vida	1:0
04.02.23	Vida - Real Sociedad Tocoa	2:1
16.10.22	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Vida	0:0
13.08.22	Vida - Real Sociedad Tocoa	2:0

Real Sociedad Tocoa - Vida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide