Match Info

HONDURAS: Liga Nacional - Relegation - Final

Date: 1 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Nilmo Edwards (La Ceiba)


	Vida		Lobos UPNFM

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.65
	2.27	2.96	3.24
	2.28	2.97	3.24
	2.38	3.1	2.75
	2.43	3.22	2.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.23)	3.09 ↓ (3.41)	2.93 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vida
39.2%

Draw
29.6%

Lobos UPNFM
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

26.6%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

25.6%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vida than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	25. Guity A. (G)
	20. Baptiste J.
	23. Figueroa J.
	14. Gutierrez C.
	4. Medina L.
	8. Morazan O.
	7. Rochez C.
	9. Rochez J.
	10. Romero C.
	24. Santos L.
	16. Vasquez E.
Substitutes
	22. Bernardez R.
	33. Flores R.
	30. Lopez B.
	11. Macias J.
	56. Ponce J.
	3. Rodas Andrino G. J.
	1. Valladares C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Vasquez E. 🟨,
58', Figueroa J. ↓, Ponce J. ↑,
58', Rochez C. ↓, Macias J. ↑,
59', Chimilio L. 🟨,
61', Tellas G. ↓, Espinoza S. ↑,
75', Romero C. ↓, Bernardez R. ↑,
75', Manaiza C. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
75', Canales M. ↓, Funez E. ↑,
75', Suazo D. ↓, Bernardez M. ↑,
84', Macias J. 🟨,
85', Morazan O. ↓, Rodas Andrino G. J. ↑,
85', Gutierrez C. ↓, Flores R. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 0, Portillo J. (Pen),

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vida won 3.

Vida has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lobos UPNFM is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Vida won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 34-33.

Including matches at home between the teams Vida won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDS Vida
Honduras Liga Nacional
28.04.24	Vida - Motagua	1:2 ✺
24.04.24	Olancho - Vida	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Vida	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Vida - Génesis PN	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Victoria La Ceiba - Vida	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTLLL
- Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
28.04.24	Génesis PN - Lobos UPNFM	1:0 ✺
24.04.24	Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:0 ✺
19.04.24	Victoria La Ceiba - Lobos UPNFM	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Motagua - Lobos UPNFM	4:0 ✺
06.04.24	Lobos UPNFM - Olancho	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
14.03.24	Vida - Lobos UPNFM	2:0
28.01.24	Lobos UPNFM - Vida	3:0
21.10.23	Lobos UPNFM - Vida	2:1
25.08.23	Vida - Lobos UPNFM	5:1
29.04.23	Vida - Lobos UPNFM	2:1
25.02.23	Lobos UPNFM - Vida	3:0
19.11.22	Lobos UPNFM - Vida	3:2

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