Match Info

HONDURAS: Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday


	Vida		Génesis PN

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	2.6
	2.2	3.25	2.95	Watch
	2.29	3.2	3.13
	2.24	3.07	3.13
	2.3	3.25	2.75
	2.24	3.34	2.98	Watch
	2.2	3.25	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.63)	3.22 ↓ (3.36)	2.93 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vida
40.4%

Draw
28.4%

Génesis PN
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

27.5%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

27.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vida's performance.

Génesis PN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Génesis PN might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vida than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Génesis PN could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Bengoche A. (G) 32. Bernardez M. 18. Palacios D. 27. Chimilio L. 35. Suazo D. 6. Sander R. 7. Garcia M. 10. Canales M. 13. Manaiza C. 9. Tellas G. 62. Ruiz J.	1. Argueta G. (G) 12. Casildo L. 24. Davila S. 33. Gonzalez O. 27. Lasso J. 17. Oliva H. 3. Gutierrez Y. 4. Discua O. 8. Melendez D. 62. Alvarado A. 7. Guity F.
Substitutes
29. Barahona K. 23. Castrillo J. 20. Centeno J. 14. Espinoza S. 16. Funez E. 31. Martinez J. 26. Padilla A. (G) 44. Paguada M. 25. Palacios J. 1. Quinteros M. (G) 11. Villafranca J. 5. Zuniga A.	5. Colon H. 26. Cruz J. 11. Diamond R. 14. Fiallos J. 32. Ramirez Arauz M. R. 19. Salinas M. 37. Tilguath C. 30. Timoteo C. (G) 23. Ventura M. 20. Yanes F. 65. Zelaya D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Guity F. (Pen),
13', Suazo D. 🟨,
30', Gonzalez O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Guity F. ↓, Ramirez Arauz M. R. ↑,
46', Gonzalez O. ↓, Salinas M. ↑,
59', Ruiz J. ↓, Espinoza S. ↑,
64', Gutierrez Y. ↓, Fiallos J. ↑,
64', Melendez D. ↓, Yanes F. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Ramirez Arauz M. R. ⚽,
68', Ramirez Arauz M. R. 🟨,
74', Salinas M. 🟨,
81', Funez E. 🟥,
90', Yanes F. 🟨,
90+4', Discua O. 🟨,
90+6', Alvarado A. 🟥,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Vida is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Génesis is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vida won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Vida won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDS Vida
Honduras Liga Nacional
07.04.24	Victoria La Ceiba - Vida	2:1 ✺
04.04.24	Vida - CD Marathón	2:3 ✺
31.03.24	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Vida	5:1 ✺
14.03.24	Vida - Lobos UPNFM	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Real España - Vida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWL
- Génesis Policía Nacional
Honduras Liga Nacional
08.04.24	Génesis PN - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:0 ✺
03.04.24	Motagua - Génesis PN	0:0 ✺
31.03.24	Génesis PN - CD Marathón	1:0 ✺
13.03.24	Génesis PN - Victoria La Ceiba	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Génesis PN	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
18.02.24	Génesis PN - Vida	1:0
24.09.23	Génesis PN - Vida	1:2
09.08.23	Vida - Génesis PN	2:4

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