Match Info

HONDURAS: Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 4 April 2024, Thursday


	Vida		CD Marathón

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	1.93
	3.1	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.25	3.36	2.06
	3.25	3.36	2.06
	3.2	3.5	1.91
	3.28	3.38	2.02	Watch
	3.15	3.65	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.47)	3.46 ↓ (3.75)	2 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vida
28.4%

Draw
26.2%

CD Marathón
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

24.1%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

21.7%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vida than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Vida - CD Marathón Predictions

Users Predictions: CD Marathón will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Valdez Oseguera J. M. (G) 32. Bernardez M. (C) 5. Zuniga A. 35. Suazo D. 25. Palacios J. 7. Garcia M. 6. Sander R. 27. Chimilio L. 10. Canales M. 13. Manaiza C. 9. Tellas G.	23. Samudio C. (G) 27. Crisanto F. 4. Rivera J. 16. Leveron J. 14. Arriaga Chavez J. A. 17. Vega Orellana A. N. 5. Martinez Hernandez F. E. 13. Chavez G. 7. Castillo I. 70. Lopez I. 9. Zuniga Bernardez C. J. (C)
Substitutes
29. Barahona K. 30. Bengoche A. (G) 23. Castrillo J. 20. Centeno J. 14. Espinoza S. 16. Funez E. 31. Martinez J. 24. Mejia F. 1. Quinteros M. (G) 62. Ruiz J. 11. Villafranca J. 15. Villalta Y.	52. Alvarado 3. Bodden K. 65. Bueso J. 29. Contreras J. 26. Elvir S. 11. Guevara S. 18. Lacayo J. 61. Ortiz L. (G) 22. Pena K. 20. Perez Azambuya E. M. 8. Sorto Caballero T. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Vega Orellana A. N. ⚽,
6', Chimilio L. 🟨,
20', 0 - 2, Lopez I. ⚽,
40', Crisanto F. 🟨,
45+1', Medina H. 🟨,
45+1', Vega Orellana A. N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Sander R. ↓, Villafranca J. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Manaiza C. ⚽,
60', Villafranca J. 🟨,
60', Vega Orellana A. N. ↓, Guevara S. ↑,
61', Chimilio L. ↓, Barahona K. ↑,
61', Garcia M. ↓, Espinoza S. ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Tellas G. ⚽,
77', Tellas G. 🟨,
83', Lopez I. ↓, Lacayo J. ↑,
83', Chavez G. ↓, Alvarado ↑,
87', 2 - 3, Lacayo J. ⚽,
90+2', Martinez Hernandez F. E. 🟨,
90+2', Bueso J. 🟨,
90+6', Palacios J. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vida won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Marathón have a series of guest games.

In this match Marathón is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Vida won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Vida won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDS Vida
Honduras Liga Nacional
31.03.24	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Vida	5:1 ✺
14.03.24	Vida - Lobos UPNFM	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Real España - Vida	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Motagua - Vida	1:0 ✺
29.02.24	Vida - Olancho	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLW
- CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional
31.03.24	Génesis PN - CD Marathón	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Olancho - CD Marathón	2:1 ✺
29.02.24	CD Marathón - Victoria La Ceiba	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Real España - CD Marathón	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
04.02.24	CD Marathón - Vida	7:0
30.09.23	Vida - CD Marathón	1:1
06.08.23	CD Marathón - Vida	2:0
04.03.23	Vida - CD Marathón	0:0
25.01.23	CD Marathón - Vida	0:2
19.10.22	Vida - CD Marathón	2:2
20.08.22	CD Marathón - Vida	4:4

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