Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 24

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio IV Centenario (Tarija)

Referee: Vargas G. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal


	Real Tomayapo		Jorge Wilstermann

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.5	3.9	Watch
	1.82	3.5	3.95	Watch
	1.82	3.50	4.00	Watch
	1.85	3.42	3.75	Watch
	1.57	3.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.82)	3.54 ↑ (3.5)	4.02 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Tomayapo
51.6%

Draw
25.7%

Jorge Wilstermann
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

26.3%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

25.3%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Tomayapo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Real Tomayapo - Jorge Wilstermann Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tomayapo will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arauz G. (G) 17. Bejarano M. (C) 5. Corulo L. 20. Aguilar F. 16. Montero R. 7. Aviles M. 8. Mamani J. 31. Barbery Gil M. G. 6. Lima R. 38. Cuiza S. 9. Perez D.	1. Salinas L. (G) 25. Robson 5. Castillo G. 15. Machado C. 4. Rodriguez F. 38. Rocabado I. 26. Aliaga A. 29. Adrian J. 17. Rodriguez L. 10. Chavez C. (C) 7. Caceres A.
Substitutes
25. Arancibia A. (G) 35. Castillo J. 28. Cordoba A. 11. Figueroa L. 55. Gatti F. 21. Gutierrez L. 33. Mamani K. 30. Montano Hilton J. 15. Orellana J. 19. Pinto D. 22. Ramallo D. 2. Vera L.	34. Ancieta C. 40. Camacho K. 39. Flores Quispe O. F. 24. Montano J. 14. Pardo E. 28. Soto R. 23. Velasco A. 37. Zenteno J. 33. Zotes S. (G)
Coaches
Cortes J.	Viviani Ribera H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', Machado C. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Barbery Gil M. G. ⚽, Perez D. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Rocabado I. ⚽, Caceres A. (A),
45', 2 - 1, Bejarano M. ⚽, Cuiza S. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Rodriguez L. ↓, Soto R. ↑,
55', 3 - 1, Barbery Gil M. G. ⚽,
63', Chavez C. ↓, Montano J. ↑,
65', Barbery Gil M. G. 🟨,
67', Aguilar F. ↓, Mamani K. ↑,
67', 4 - 1, Cuiza S. ⚽, Perez D. (A),
70', Barbery Gil M. G. ↓, Gatti F. ↑,
76', Aviles M. ↓, Ramallo D. ↑,
76', Mamani J. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
76', Perez D. ↓, Cordoba A. ↑,
85', 5 - 1, Gatti F. ⚽, Cordoba A. (A),
85', Gatti F. 🟨,
90+2', 6 - 1, Corulo L. ⚽, Cordoba A. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tomayapo won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tomayapo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tomayapo is the team to beat.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Tomayapo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tomayapo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Tomayapo
Bolivian Copa Pacena
30.10.25	Real Tomayapo - Independiente Petroleros	3:6 ✺
27.10.25	Bolívar - Real Tomayapo	5:1 ✺
24.10.25	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Real Tomayapo	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Real Tomayapo - Bolívar	2:7 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
17.10.25	Real Tomayapo - Guabirá	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWLW
- Jorge Wilstermann
Bolivian Copa Pacena
29.10.25	Jorge Wilstermann - GVCD San José	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Jorge Wilstermann - The Strongest	2:5 ✺
23.10.25	Oriente Petrolero - Jorge Wilstermann	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	The Strongest - Jorge Wilstermann	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Oriente Petrolero	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
27.05.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Real Tomayapo	0:0
Bolivian Torneo Amistoso de Verano
23.02.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Real Tomayapo	2:2
15.02.25	Real Tomayapo - Jorge Wilstermann	0:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
01.12.24	Real Tomayapo - Jorge Wilstermann	0:1
04.08.24	Jorge Wilstermann - Real Tomayapo	2:1
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.24	Real Tomayapo - Jorge Wilstermann	1:0 penalties
Bolivian Division Profesional
06.11.23	Jorge Wilstermann - Real Tomayapo	3:0

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