The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Royal Pari 42.4%
Draw 27.8%
Nacional Potosí 29.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.7%
28.3%
44%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.2%
27.8%
44.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Royal Pari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Royal Pari's performance.
Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional Potosí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Royal Pari than the current prediction. (-15.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Royal Pari that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+15%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional Potosí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
Royal Pari - Nacional Potosí Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Royal Pari will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional Potosí: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pena I. (G) 72. Gil S. 23. Quinones Y. 29. Padilha Hallysson 32. Zurita A. 3. Moriceau T. 8. Moreno A. 24. Padilla C. 12. Ribera J. 30. Flores J. 9. Matheus Alves
1. Mustafa S. (G) 16. Torrico A. 6. Restrepo E. 33. Demiquel L. 21. Ortiz M. 22. Hoyos J. 18. Azogue P. 11. Rojas J. 17. Guerra S. 7. Preciado C. 20. Prost M.
Substitutes
17. Bonilla M. 5. Crescencio L. 55. Hurtado I. (G) 20. Isita D. 11. Jaquez J. M. 18. Justiniano S. 87. Pena S. 27. Perez J. 28. Velasco L.
19. Abrego V. 29. Alvarez W. 15. Andia J. 23. Baldomar O. 13. Cabrera A. 9. Correa J. 10. Galindo S. 27. Garcia A. 3. Guerra J. 32. Leanos H. 12. Mejia Mejia J. (G) 8. Pavia L.
Coaches
Leitao T.
Torres F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Ortiz M. 🟥,
21', Hurtado I. 🟨,
23', Flores J. 🟨,
25', Rojas J. ↓, Leanos H. ↑,
36', 1 - 0, Flores J. ⚽, Padilla C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Flores J. ⚽, Matheus Alves (A),
55', Moreno A. 🟨,
56', Leanos H. 🟨,
56', Guerra S. 🟨,
60', Flores J. ↓, Pena S. ↑,
60', Padilla C. 🟨,
61', Azogue P. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
74', Correa J. 🟨,
85', Padilla C. ↓, Justiniano S. ↑,
85', Prost M. ↓, Abrego V. ↑,
85', Guerra S. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
88', Matheus Alves ↓, Jaquez J. M. ↑,
90+3', Jaquez J. M. 🟨,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Royal Pari won 0.
Royal Pari has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Nacional Potosí is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Nacional Potosí could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Royal Pari will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Royal Pari won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 26:37 (average 1.4:1.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Royal Pari won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:10 (average 1.9:1.1).
Bolivia
Watch
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Pena I. (G) 
Quinones Y. 
Padilha Hallysson 
Zurita A. 
Torrico A. 
Jaquez J. M. 
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