Match Info

BOLIVIA: Division Profesional - Clausura - Round 25

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas (Santa Cruz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App


	Royal Pari		Oriente Petrolero

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3	2.1
	3.2	3.2	2.19	Watch
	3.57	3.15	2.25
	3.52	2.98	2.24	Watch
	3.2	3	2.15
	3.29	3.28	2.11	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.28)	3.14 ↓ (3.38)	2.18 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Royal Pari
28%

Draw
29.5%

Oriente Petrolero
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

27.2%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

26.3%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Royal Pari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Royal Pari's form might have worsened.

Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oriente Petrolero's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royal Pari than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Royal Pari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oriente Petrolero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Royal Pari - Oriente Petrolero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Mendez D. (G) 72. Gil S. 29. Padilha Hallysson 23. Quinones Y. 3. Moriceau T. 12. Ribera J. 8. Moreno A. 24. Padilla C. 30. Flores J. 9. Matheus Alves 7. Thiago	13. Bernal J. (G) 34. Vargas F. 40. Paz A. 2. Rodriguez E. 6. Anez C. 15. Gonzales Mejia F. 44. Camacho J. 14. Nacif Joffre R. 33. Barreto D. 20. Garcia J. 9. Riquelme M. D.
Substitutes
77. Adolfo E. 17. Bonilla M. 5. Crescencio L. 11. Jaquez J. M. 18. Justiniano S. 1. Pena I. (G) 87. Pena S. 27. Perez J. 91. Ubah B. 32. Zurita A.	32. Alba J. 91. Alvarez G. 27. Alvarez S. 36. Diez R. 25. Nino De Guzman Montero A. J. 42. Rivero Ferrufino R. A. (G) 48. Rodas Ribera V. G. 4. Rodriguez D. 19. Sanchez E. 16. Sandoval R. 43. Villarroel M.
Coaches
Leitao T.	Monasteiro J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Matheus Alves 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 0, Flores J. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nacif Joffre R. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
46', Paz A. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
46', Rodriguez E. ↓, Alvarez S. ↑,
56', Garcia J. 🟨,
60', Garcia J. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
69', Ribera J. ↓, Zurita A. ↑,
72', Matheus Alves ↓, Ubah B. ↑,
75', Anez C. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
83', Thiago ↓, Crescencio L. ↑,
83', Padilla C. ↓, Bonilla M. ↑,
83', Flores J. ↓, Adolfo E. ↑,
84', Moriceau T. 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Riquelme M. D. ⚽, Sanchez E. (A),
90+8', Sanchez E. 🟨,
90+14', 2 - 1, Moriceau T. (Pen),

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Royal Pari won 2.

Royal Pari is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Oriente Petrolero is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Royal Pari could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Oriente Petrolero will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Royal Pari won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24:24 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Royal Pari won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royal Pari FC
Bolivian Division Profesional
30.11.24	Bolívar - Royal Pari	5:0 ✺
27.11.24	Royal Pari - Nacional Potosí	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Royal Pari - Jorge Wilstermann	0:1 ✺
21.11.24	Always Ready - Royal Pari	4:0 ✺
30.10.24	Blooming - Royal Pari	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLL
- Oriente Petrolero
Bolivian Division Profesional
01.12.24	Oriente Petrolero - GVCD San José	4:2 ✺
28.11.24	Jorge Wilstermann - Oriente Petrolero	2:2 ✺
25.11.24	Oriente Petrolero - Real Santa Cruz	1:3 ✺
22.11.24	Oriente Petrolero - Independiente Petroleros	1:1 ✺
20.11.24	Universitario de Vinto - Oriente Petrolero	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
07.08.24	Oriente Petrolero - Royal Pari	0:0
Bolivian Copa Pacena
02.11.23	Royal Pari - Oriente Petrolero	1:0
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.10.23	Royal Pari - Oriente Petrolero	1:1
Bolivian Copa Pacena
20.07.23	Oriente Petrolero - Royal Pari	2:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.04.23	Oriente Petrolero - Royal Pari	1:2
18.09.22	Royal Pari - Oriente Petrolero	1:0
08.07.22	Oriente Petrolero - Royal Pari	0:1

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