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Current Win Probability
Bolívar 83.4%
Draw 10.1%
Universitario de Vinto 6.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
84.5%
9.5%
6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Universitario de Vinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Bolívar - Universitario de Vinto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lampe C. (G) 99. Batallini D. 3. Arreaga X. 33. Mena F. 2. Sagredo J. 14. Robson Matheus 23. Justiniano L. (C) 80. Melgar C. A. 7. Velasquez J. 27. Asprilla D. 9. Cauteruccio M.
1. Poveda B. (G) 21. Cuellar G. 50. Vargas D. 34. Jara A. (C) 28. Jose Pinto 70. Lazarte J. 22. Calicho J. 6. Gomez M. 17. Torrico D. 24. Rodriguez H. 9. Llano R.
Substitutes
10. Arce B. 22. Ayhuana A. 18. Chavez Cruz L. L. 5. Echeverria S. 35. Freita E. 19. Garcia J. 12. Lopez J. (G) 11. Miranda B. 77. Romero D. 26. Saavedra E. 4. Sagredo J. 6. Vaca Moreno E.
79. Blanco O. 37. Cabrera Suarez L. 27. Calderon B. 12. Careaga J. (G) 30. Cuadiay Fernandez M. 66. Cuestas A. 7. Dorrego H. 90. Saavedra D. 80. Vasquez F. 19. Veizaga J. 2. Visalla G.
Coaches
Restrepo A.
Barral A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Justiniano L. ↓, Vaca Moreno E. ↑,
32', Gomez M. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Llano R. ⚽, Gomez M. (A),
45+3', Barral A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Rodriguez H. 🟨,
55', Llano R. ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Cauteruccio M. ⚽, Velasquez J. (A),
66', Torrico D. ↓, Dorrego H. ↑,
67', Calicho J. 🟨,
67', Asprilla D. 🟨,
70', Melgar C. A. ↓, Miranda B. ↑,
70', Mena F. ↓, Ayhuana A. ↑,
71', Jose Pinto 🟨,
79', Cauteruccio M. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
79', Batallini D. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Arreaga X. ⚽, Arce B. (A),
84', Velasquez J. 🟨,
90+2', Blanco O. 🟨,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolívar won 3.
Bolívar has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Uni de Vinto have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Uni de Vinto could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bolívar holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Bolívar has recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 33:15 (averaging 2.2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bolívar against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 19:6 goals (averaging 2.7:0.9 per game).